UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
51.8% (Elo 1502)
(Elo 1490) 48.2%
Result
Alessandro Costa wins by KO/TKO (punches)
round 1, 2:28
Pre-fight Elo gave Alessandro Costa 51.8%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Alessandro Costa 1502, Matt Schnell 1490: a 12-point gap.
- Common opponents
- Jimmy Flick (Costa: Win; Schnell: Win). Steve Erceg (Costa: Loss; Schnell: Loss).
- Form
- Alessandro Costa won 3 of the last 5, Matt Schnell won 1 of 5. Form favours Alessandro Costa.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Alessandro Costa 51.8% by Elo.
Alessandro Costa51.8%ELO48.2%Matt Schnell
1502 · Pre-fight Elo · 1490
Common opponents
| Opponent | Alessandro Costa | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Flick | WinKO/TKO (elbows), Jun 17, 2023 | WinDecision (unanimous), Apr 26, 2025 |
| Steve Erceg | LossDecision (unanimous), Nov 11, 2023 | LossKO/TKO (punch), Mar 2, 2024 |
Recent form
Alessandro Costa · won 3 of last 5Matt Schnell · won 1 of last 5
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Alessandro Costa
- WinStewart NicollKO/TKO (punch to the body) · R2 4:56
- LossAlden CoriaKO/TKO (punches) · R3 0:47
- WinKevin BorjasKO/TKO (punches) · R2 1:35
- LossSteve ErcegDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinJimmy FlickKO/TKO (elbows) · R2 1:03
Matt Schnell
- LossJoseph MoralesSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 2:54
- WinJimmy FlickDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- LossCody DurdenSubmission (ninja choke) · R2 0:29
- LossSteve ErcegKO/TKO (punch) · R2 0:26
- LossMatheus NicolauKO/TKO (punches) · R2 1:44
Tale of the tape
no data yetAge36
no data yetHeight172.7 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
3-3-0UFC record7-8-0 (1 NC)
1532Peak Elo1537
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Full card »Gabriel Bonfim vs. Belal MuhammadDecisionBrendan Allen vs. Edmen ShahbazyanDecisionTom Nolan vs. Farès ZiamDecisionBryce Mitchell vs. Santiago LunaSubmissionIwo Baraniewski vs. Junior TafaKO/TKOMarcus McGhee vs. John YannisDecisionÉdgar Cháirez vs. Bruno Gustavo da SilvaSubmissionChelsea Chandler vs. Priscila CachoeiraSubmission
FAQ
When and where is UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim?
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.