UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
61.8% (Elo 1640)
(Elo 1556) 38.2%
Result
Alexandre Pantoja wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)
round 3, 1:55
Pre-fight Elo gave Alexandre Pantoja 61.8%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Alexandre Pantoja 1640, Kai Kara-France 1556: a 84-point gap.
- Common opponents
- Steve Erceg (Pantoja: Win; Kara-France: Win). Brandon Royval (Pantoja: Win ×2; Kara-France: Loss). Brandon Moreno (Pantoja: Win ×2; Kara-France: Loss ×2).
- Form
- Alexandre Pantoja won 5 of the last 5, Kai Kara-France won 3 of 5. Form favours Alexandre Pantoja.
- Verdict
- Alexandre Pantoja slightly favoured · Alexandre Pantoja 61.8% by Elo.
Alexandre Pantoja61.8%ELO38.2%Kai Kara-France
1640 · Pre-fight Elo · 1556
Common opponents
| Opponent | Alexandre Pantoja | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Steve Erceg | WinDecision (unanimous), May 4, 2024 | WinKO/TKO (punches), Aug 18, 2024 |
| Brandon Royval | WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Aug 21, 2021 WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 16, 2023 | LossSubmission (guillotine choke), Sep 27, 2020 |
| Brandon Moreno | WinDecision (unanimous), May 19, 2018 WinDecision (split), Jul 8, 2023 | LossDecision (unanimous), Dec 14, 2019 LossKO/TKO (body kick and punches), Jul 30, 2022 |
| Askar Askarov | LossDecision (unanimous), Jul 19, 2020 | WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 26, 2022 |
Recent form
Alexandre Pantoja · won 5 of last 5Kai Kara-France · won 3 of last 5
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Alexandre Pantoja
- WinKai AsakuraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 2:05
- WinSteve ErcegDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- WinBrandon RoyvalDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
- WinBrandon MorenoDecision (split) · R5 5:00
- WinAlex PerezSubmission (neck crank) · R1 1:31
Kai Kara-France
- WinSteve ErcegKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:04
- LossAmir AlbaziDecision (split) · R5 5:00
- LossBrandon MorenoKO/TKO (body kick and punches) · R3 4:34
- WinAskar AskarovDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinCody GarbrandtKO/TKO (punches) · R1 3:21
Tale of the tape
35Age32
165.1 cmHeight162.6 cm
no data yetReach175.3 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
13-3-0UFC record8-4-0
1653Peak Elo1573
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+ / Disney+
Early prelims: ESPN+ / Disney+ / UFC Fight Pass
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
Full card »Ilia Topuria vs. Charles OliveiraKO/TKOJoshua Van vs. Brandon RoyvalDecisionBeneil Dariush vs. Renato MoicanoDecisionPayton Talbott vs. Felipe LimaDecisionGregory Rodrigues vs. Jack HermanssonKO/TKOJose Miguel Delgado vs. Hyder AmilKO/TKOTracy Cortez vs. Viviane AraújoDecisionTerrance McKinney vs. Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission
FAQ
When and where is UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira?
Sat, Jun 28, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 317 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.