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Brandon Royval vs. Matheus Nicolau: UFC on ESPN, Apr 15, 2023

UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen · T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S.
Brandon Royval4-2-0
SatApr 15KO/TKO · R1Flyweight
Matheus Nicolau7-1-0
42.4% (Elo 1535)(Elo 1588) 57.6%

Result

Brandon Royval wins by KO/TKO (knee and elbows)

round 1, 2:09

Pre-fight Elo gave Matheus Nicolau 57.6%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Brandon Royval 1535, Matheus Nicolau 1588: a 53-point gap.
Common opponents
Matt Schnell (Royval: Win; Nicolau: Win). Tim Elliott (Royval: Win; Nicolau: Win).
Form
Brandon Royval won 3 of the last 5, Matheus Nicolau won 4 of 5. Form favours Matheus Nicolau.
Verdict
Matheus Nicolau slightly favoured · Matheus Nicolau 57.6% by Elo.
Brandon Royval42.4%ELO57.6%Matheus Nicolau
1535 · Pre-fight Elo · 1588

Common opponents

OpponentBrandon RoyvalMatheus Nicolau
Matt Schnell
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), May 7, 2022
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 3, 2022
Tim Elliott
WinSubmission (arm-triangle choke), May 30, 2020
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 9, 2021

Recent form

Brandon Royval · won 3 of last 5Matheus Nicolau · won 4 of last 5
15001550160020162017201820192020202120222023Brandon Royval 2020-05-30: 1514Brandon Royval 2020-09-27: 1531Brandon Royval 2020-11-21: 1516Brandon Royval 2021-08-21: 1502Brandon Royval 2022-01-15: 1518Brandon Royval 2022-05-07: 1535Brandon Royval 2023-04-15: 15531553Matheus Nicolau 2015-11-07: 1516Matheus Nicolau 2016-07-08: 1533Matheus Nicolau 2017-12-30: 1548Matheus Nicolau 2018-07-28: 1531Matheus Nicolau 2021-03-13: 1545Matheus Nicolau 2021-10-09: 1558Matheus Nicolau 2022-03-26: 1574Matheus Nicolau 2022-12-03: 1588Matheus Nicolau 2023-04-15: 15691569

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Brandon Royval
Matheus Nicolau

Tale of the tape

30Age30
175.3 cmHeight167.6 cm
172.7 cmReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
4-2-0UFC record7-1-0
1575Peak Elo1588

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen

Full card »
Max Holloway vs. Arnold AllenDecisionEdson Barboza vs. Billy QuarantilloKO/TKOAzamat Murzakanov vs. Dustin JacobyDecisionIon Cuțelaba vs. Tanner BoserKO/TKOPedro Munhoz vs. Chris GutiérrezDecisionRafa García vs. Clay GuidaDecisionBill Algeo vs. T.J. BrownSubmissionZak Cummings vs. Ed HermanKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen?

Sat, Apr 15, 2023 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Holloway vs. Allen (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.