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Zhang Weili vs. Carla Esparza: UFC 281, Nov 12, 2022

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S.
Zhang Weili6-2-0
SatNov 12Submission · R2Title fight · 5 rounds
Carla Esparza (c)10-4-0
45.5% (Elo 1569)(Elo 1600) 54.5%

Result

Zhang Weili wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 2, 1:05

Pre-fight Elo gave Carla Esparza 54.5%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Zhang Weili 1569, Carla Esparza 1600: a 31-point gap.
Common opponents
Joanna Jędrzejczyk (Weili: Win ×2; Esparza: Loss). Rose Namajunas (Weili: Loss ×2; Esparza: Win ×2).
Form
Zhang Weili won 3 of the last 5, Carla Esparza won 5 of 5. Form favours Carla Esparza.
Verdict
Close fight · Carla Esparza 54.5% by Elo.
Zhang Weili45.5%ELO54.5%Carla Esparza
1569 · Pre-fight Elo · 1600

Common opponents

OpponentZhang WeiliCarla Esparza
Joanna Jędrzejczyk
WinDecision (split), Mar 7, 2020
WinKO/TKO (spinning backfist), Jun 12, 2022
LossKO/TKO (punches), Mar 14, 2015
Rose Namajunas
LossKO/TKO (head kick), Apr 24, 2021
LossDecision (split), Nov 6, 2021
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Dec 12, 2014
WinDecision (split), May 7, 2022

Recent form

Zhang Weili · won 3 of last 5Carla Esparza · won 5 of last 5
1500155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023Zhang Weili 2018-08-04: 1516Zhang Weili 2018-11-24: 1531Zhang Weili 2019-03-02: 1547Zhang Weili 2019-08-31: 1566Zhang Weili 2020-03-07: 1583Zhang Weili 2021-04-24: 1567Zhang Weili 2021-11-06: 1552Zhang Weili 2022-06-12: 1569Zhang Weili 2022-11-12: 15861586Carla Esparza 2014-12-12: 1516Carla Esparza 2015-03-14: 1501Carla Esparza 2016-04-23: 1517Carla Esparza 2017-02-19: 1500Carla Esparza 2017-06-25: 1517Carla Esparza 2017-12-30: 1535Carla Esparza 2018-06-09: 1518Carla Esparza 2018-09-08: 1503Carla Esparza 2019-04-27: 1519Carla Esparza 2019-09-21: 1535Carla Esparza 2020-05-09: 1551Carla Esparza 2020-07-26: 1566Carla Esparza 2021-05-22: 1583Carla Esparza 2022-05-07: 1600Carla Esparza 2022-11-12: 15831583

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Zhang Weili
Carla Esparza

Tale of the tape

32Age35
162.6 cmHeight154.9 cm
160.0 cmReachno data yet
SwitchStanceno data yet
6-2-0UFC record10-4-0
1633Peak Elo1600

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

Full card »
Alex Pereira vs. Israel AdesanyaKO/TKODustin Poirier vs. Michael ChandlerSubmissionChris Gutiérrez vs. Frankie EdgarKO/TKODan Hooker vs. Claudio PuellesKO/TKORenato Moicano vs. Brad RiddellSubmissionRyan Spann vs. Dominick ReyesKO/TKOErin Blanchfield vs. Molly McCannSubmissionAndre Petroski vs. Wellington TurmanDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira?

Sat, Nov 12, 2022 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 281 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.