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Casey Kenney vs. Louis Smolka: UFC on ESPN, May 30, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Casey Kenney2-1-0
SatMay 30Submission · R1Bantamweight
Louis Smolka7-6-0
51.1% (Elo 1518)(Elo 1510) 48.9%

Result

Casey Kenney wins by Submission (guillotine choke)

round 1, 3:03

Pre-fight Elo gave Casey Kenney 51.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Casey Kenney 1518, Louis Smolka 1510: a 8-point gap.
Common opponents
Ray Borg (Kenney: Win; Smolka: Loss).
Form
Casey Kenney won 2 of the last 3, Louis Smolka won 2 of 5. Form favours Casey Kenney.
Verdict
Close fight · Casey Kenney 51.1% by Elo.
Casey Kenney51.1%ELO48.9%Louis Smolka
1518 · Pre-fight Elo · 1510

Common opponents

OpponentCasey KenneyLouis Smolka
Ray Borg
WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 30, 2019
LossDecision (unanimous), Dec 30, 2016

Recent form

Casey Kenney · won 2 of last 3Louis Smolka · won 2 of last 5
14501500155016002014201520162017201820192020Casey Kenney 2019-03-30: 1518Casey Kenney 2019-08-17: 1535Casey Kenney 2020-02-15: 1518Casey Kenney 2020-05-30: 15331533Louis Smolka 2014-01-15: 1517Louis Smolka 2014-05-10: 1502Louis Smolka 2014-11-08: 1518Louis Smolka 2015-07-11: 1534Louis Smolka 2015-10-24: 1550Louis Smolka 2016-07-13: 1565Louis Smolka 2016-10-01: 1546Louis Smolka 2016-12-30: 1528Louis Smolka 2017-04-15: 1509Louis Smolka 2017-12-30: 1494Louis Smolka 2018-11-24: 1511Louis Smolka 2019-03-09: 1494Louis Smolka 2019-09-14: 1510Louis Smolka 2020-05-30: 14941494

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Casey Kenney
Louis Smolka

Tale of the tape

29Age28
170.2 cmHeight175.3 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceno data yet
2-1-0UFC record7-6-0
1565Peak Elo1565

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns

Full card »
Gilbert Burns vs. Tyron WoodleyDecisionAugusto Sakai vs. Blagoy IvanovDecisionBilly Quarantillo vs. Spike CarlyleDecisionRoosevelt Roberts vs. Brok WeaverSubmissionMackenzie Dern vs. Hannah CifersSubmissionKatlyn Cerminara vs. Antonina ShevchenkoDecisionDaniel Rodriguez vs. Gabriel GreenDecisionJamahal Hill vs. Klidson AbreuNC

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns?

Sat, May 30, 2020 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.