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Rafael Natal vs. Chris Camozzi: UFC Fight Night, Sep 5, 2014

UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Mousasi · Foxwoods Resort Casino, Ledyard, Connecticut, U.S.
Rafael Natal5-4-1
FriSep 5Decision · R3Middleweight
Chris Camozzi6-5-0
51.4% (Elo 1515)(Elo 1505) 48.6%

Result

Rafael Natal wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Rafael Natal 51.4%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Rafael Natal 1515, Chris Camozzi 1505: a 10-point gap.
Form
Rafael Natal won 3 of the last 5, Chris Camozzi won 2 of 5. Form favours Rafael Natal.
Verdict
Close fight · Rafael Natal 51.4% by Elo.
Rafael Natal51.4%ELO48.6%Chris Camozzi
1515 · Pre-fight Elo · 1505

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Rafael Natal · won 3 of last 5Chris Camozzi · won 2 of last 5
145015001550160020112012201320142015Rafael Natal 2010-09-15: 1485Rafael Natal 2010-12-11: 1485Rafael Natal 2011-08-06: 1502Rafael Natal 2012-02-04: 1518Rafael Natal 2012-07-11: 1502Rafael Natal 2013-01-26: 1518Rafael Natal 2013-05-18: 1533Rafael Natal 2013-09-04: 1548Rafael Natal 2013-11-06: 1531Rafael Natal 2014-05-10: 1515Rafael Natal 2014-09-05: 15311531Chris Camozzi 2010-06-19: 1516Chris Camozzi 2010-10-23: 1531Chris Camozzi 2011-02-27: 1515Chris Camozzi 2011-10-29: 1499Chris Camozzi 2012-01-28: 1514Chris Camozzi 2012-06-22: 1530Chris Camozzi 2012-10-13: 1545Chris Camozzi 2013-03-16: 1560Chris Camozzi 2013-05-18: 1541Chris Camozzi 2013-11-06: 1523Chris Camozzi 2014-07-05: 1505Chris Camozzi 2014-09-05: 14891489

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Rafael Natal
  • Loss
    Ed HermanDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Tim KennedyKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:40
  • Win
    Tor TroéngDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    João ZeferinoDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Sean SpencerSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R3 2:13
Chris Camozzi
  • Loss
    Bruno SantosDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Lorenz LarkinDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Ronaldo SouzaSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R1 3:37
  • Win
    Nick RingDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Luiz CanéDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00

Tale of the tape

31Age27
182.9 cmHeight190.5 cm
193.0 cmReach198.1 cm
orthodoxStanceSouthpaw
5-4-1UFC record6-5-0
1573Peak Elo1560

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Mousasi

Full card »
Ronaldo Souza vs. Gegard MousasiSubmissionBen Rothwell vs. Alistair OvereemKO/TKOMatt Mitrione vs. Derrick LewisKO/TKOJoe Lauzon vs. Michael ChiesaKO/TKOJohn Moraga vs. Justin ScogginsSubmissionAl Iaquinta vs. Rodrigo DammKO/TKOChris Beal vs. Tateki MatsudaDecisionChas Skelly vs. Sean SorianoDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Mousasi?

Fri, Sep 5, 2014 at Foxwoods Resort Casino, Ledyard, Connecticut, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Mousasi (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.