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Julian Erosa vs. Christian Rodriguez: UFC on ESPN, Jul 13, 2024

UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez · Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado, U.S.
Julian Erosa7-7-0
SatJul 13Submission · R1Featherweight
Christian Rodriguez4-1-0
44.7% (Elo 1513)(Elo 1551) 55.3%

Result

Julian Erosa wins by Submission (guillotine choke)

round 1, 4:49

Pre-fight Elo gave Christian Rodriguez 55.3%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Julian Erosa 1513, Christian Rodriguez 1551: a 38-point gap.
Form
Julian Erosa won 3 of the last 5, Christian Rodriguez won 4 of 5. Form favours Christian Rodriguez.
Verdict
Christian Rodriguez slightly favoured · Christian Rodriguez 55.3% by Elo.
Julian Erosa44.7%ELO55.3%Christian Rodriguez
1513 · Pre-fight Elo · 1551

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Julian Erosa · won 3 of last 5Christian Rodriguez · won 4 of last 5
1450150015501600201620172018201920202021202220232024Julian Erosa 2015-12-11: 1516Julian Erosa 2016-03-05: 1499Julian Erosa 2018-11-10: 1483Julian Erosa 2019-03-09: 1468Julian Erosa 2019-05-18: 1454Julian Erosa 2020-06-27: 1473Julian Erosa 2021-02-20: 1490Julian Erosa 2021-06-19: 1475Julian Erosa 2021-09-04: 1492Julian Erosa 2022-02-05: 1509Julian Erosa 2022-09-10: 1527Julian Erosa 2022-12-17: 1512Julian Erosa 2023-04-29: 1496Julian Erosa 2024-03-23: 1513Julian Erosa 2024-07-13: 15311531Christian Rodriguez 2022-02-19: 1485Christian Rodriguez 2022-10-29: 1502Christian Rodriguez 2023-04-08: 1518Christian Rodriguez 2023-10-14: 1535Christian Rodriguez 2024-03-16: 1551Christian Rodriguez 2024-07-13: 15331533

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Julian Erosa
Christian Rodriguez

Tale of the tape

34Ageno data yet
185.4 cmHeightno data yet
188.0 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceno data yet
7-7-0UFC record4-1-0
1550Peak Elo1551

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez

Full card »
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FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez?

Sat, Jul 13, 2024 at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Namajunas vs. Cortez (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.