Jafel Filho vs. Clayton Carpenter: UFC Fight Night, Oct 11, 2025

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Jafel Filho2-2-0

SatOct 11Submission · R1Flyweight

Clayton Carpenter2-1-0

48.2% (Elo 1502)

(Elo 1515) 51.8%

Result

Jafel Filho wins by Submission (kimura)

round 1, 4:42

Pre-fight Elo gave Clayton Carpenter 51.8%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Jafel Filho 1502, Clayton Carpenter 1515: a 13-point gap.
Form: Jafel Filho won 2 of the last 4, Clayton Carpenter won 2 of 3. Form favours Clayton Carpenter.
Verdict: Close fight · Clayton Carpenter 51.8% by Elo.

Jafel Filho48.2%ELO51.8%Clayton Carpenter

1502 · Pre-fight Elo · 1515

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Jafel Filho · won 2 of last 4Clayton Carpenter · won 2 of last 3

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Jafel Filho

Loss
Allan NascimentoDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
May 31, 2025
Win
Ode' OsbourneSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 4:27
Mar 16, 2024
Win
Daniel BárezSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R1 3:26
Jul 22, 2023
Loss
Muhammad MokaevSubmission (neck crank) · R3 4:32
Mar 18, 2023

Clayton Carpenter

Loss
Tagir UlanbekovDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jan 18, 2025
Win
Lucas RochaSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 2:12
Oct 12, 2024
Win
Juancamilo RonderosSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:13
Feb 18, 2023

Tale of the tape

no data yetAgeno data yet

no data yetHeightno data yet

no data yetReachno data yet

no data yetStanceno data yet

2-2-0UFC record2-1-0

1519Peak Elo1531

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Full card »

Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz GamrotSubmission Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Montel JacksonDecision Joel Álvarez vs. Vicente LuqueDecision Mário Pinto vs. Jhonata DinizKO/TKO Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo RamosSubmission Michael Aswell vs. Lucas AlmeidaKO/TKO Vitor Petrino vs. Thomas PetersenKO/TKO Beatriz Mesquita vs. Irina AlekseevaSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot?

Sat, Oct 11, 2025 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.