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Kamaru Usman vs. Colby Covington: UFC 268, Nov 6, 2021

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S.
Kamaru Usman (c)14-0-0
SatNov 6Decision · R5Title fight · 5 rounds
Colby Covington11-2-0
59.4% (Elo 1710)(Elo 1644) 40.6%

Result

Kamaru Usman wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Kamaru Usman 59.4%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Kamaru Usman 1710, Colby Covington 1644: a 66-point gap.
Head-to-head
They have met once; most recently on Dec 14, 2019: Kamaru Usman wins by KO/TKO (punches).
Common opponents
Tyron Woodley (Usman: Win; Covington: Win). Rafael dos Anjos (Usman: Win; Covington: Win). Demian Maia (Usman: Win; Covington: Win).
Form
Kamaru Usman won 5 of the last 5, Colby Covington won 4 of 5. Form favours Kamaru Usman.
Verdict
Kamaru Usman slightly favoured · Kamaru Usman 59.4% by Elo.
Kamaru Usman59.4%ELO40.6%Colby Covington
1710 · Pre-fight Elo · 1644

Common opponents

OpponentKamaru UsmanColby Covington
Tyron Woodley
WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 2, 2019
WinKO/TKO (rib injury), Sep 19, 2020
Rafael dos Anjos
WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 30, 2018
WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 9, 2018
Demian Maia
WinDecision (unanimous), May 19, 2018
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 28, 2017
Warlley Alves
WinDecision (unanimous), Nov 19, 2016
LossSubmission (guillotine choke), Dec 12, 2015

Recent form

Kamaru Usman · won 5 of last 5Colby Covington · won 4 of last 5
15001550160016501700175020152016201720182019202020212022Kamaru Usman 2015-07-12: 1516Kamaru Usman 2015-12-19: 1532Kamaru Usman 2016-07-23: 1547Kamaru Usman 2016-11-19: 1563Kamaru Usman 2017-04-08: 1579Kamaru Usman 2017-09-16: 1595Kamaru Usman 2018-01-14: 1607Kamaru Usman 2018-05-19: 1625Kamaru Usman 2018-11-30: 1641Kamaru Usman 2019-03-02: 1657Kamaru Usman 2019-12-14: 1672Kamaru Usman 2020-07-12: 1685Kamaru Usman 2021-02-13: 1699Kamaru Usman 2021-04-24: 1710Kamaru Usman 2021-11-06: 17231723Colby Covington 2014-08-23: 1516Colby Covington 2014-11-08: 1531Colby Covington 2015-05-23: 1548Colby Covington 2015-12-12: 1532Colby Covington 2016-06-18: 1546Colby Covington 2016-08-20: 1560Colby Covington 2016-12-17: 1575Colby Covington 2017-06-17: 1594Colby Covington 2017-10-28: 1612Colby Covington 2018-06-09: 1630Colby Covington 2019-08-03: 1645Colby Covington 2019-12-14: 1629Colby Covington 2020-09-19: 1644Colby Covington 2021-11-06: 16311631

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Kamaru Usman
Colby Covington

Tale of the tape

34Age33
182.9 cmHeight180.3 cm
193.0 cmReach182.9 cm
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
14-0-0UFC record11-2-0
1723Peak Elo1645

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

Full card »
Rose Namajunas vs. Zhang WeiliDecisionMarlon Vera vs. Frankie EdgarKO/TKOShane Burgos vs. Billy QuarantilloDecisionJustin Gaethje vs. Michael ChandlerDecisionAlex Pereira vs. Andreas MichailidisKO/TKOKing Green vs. Al IaquintaKO/TKOChris Curtis vs. Phil HawesKO/TKONassourdine Imavov vs. Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2?

Sat, Nov 6, 2021 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 268 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.