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Colby Thicknesse vs. Josias Musasa: UFC Fight Night, Sep 28, 2025

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · RAC Arena, Perth, Australia
Colby Thicknesse0-1-0
SunSep 28Decision · R3Bantamweight
Josias Musasa0-1-0
50.1% (Elo 1484)(Elo 1483) 49.9%

Result

Colby Thicknesse wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Colby Thicknesse 50.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Colby Thicknesse 1484, Josias Musasa 1483: a 1-point gap.
Form
Colby Thicknesse won 0 of the last 1, Josias Musasa won 0 of 1. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Colby Thicknesse 50.1% by Elo.
Colby Thicknesse50.1%ELO49.9%Josias Musasa
1484 · Pre-fight Elo · 1483

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Colby Thicknesse · won 0 of last 1Josias Musasa · won 0 of last 1
14501500155020252026Colby Thicknesse 2025-02-08: 1484Colby Thicknesse 2025-09-28: 15001500Josias Musasa 2025-03-15: 1483Josias Musasa 2025-09-28: 14671467

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Colby Thicknesse
Josias Musasa
  • Loss
    Carlos VeraSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 3:16

Tale of the tape

no data yetAgeno data yet
no data yetHeightno data yet
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
0-1-0UFC record0-1-0
1513Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes

Full card »
Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick ReyesKO/TKOJimmy Crute vs. Ivan ErslanSubmissionJack Jenkins vs. Ramon TaverasDecisionNeil Magny vs. Jake MatthewsSubmissionTom Nolan vs. Charlie CampbellSubmissionNavajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo BellatoDecisionCameron Rowston vs. Andre PetroskiKO/TKOJamie Mullarkey vs. Rolando BedoyaDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes?

Sun, Sep 28, 2025 at RAC Arena, Perth, Australia.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.