Result
Conor McGregor wins by Decision (majority)
round 5, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Conor McGregor 51.5%: correct
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Conor McGregor 1599, Nate Diaz 1589: a 10-point gap.
- Head-to-head
- They have met once; most recently on Mar 5, 2016: Nate Diaz wins by Submission (rear-naked choke).
- Form
- Conor McGregor won 4 of the last 5, Nate Diaz won 3 of 5. Form favours Conor McGregor.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Conor McGregor 51.5% by Elo.
Common opponents
The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.
Recent form
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
- LossNate DiazSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 4:09
- WinJosé AldoKO/TKO (punch) · R1 0:13
- WinChad MendesKO/TKO (punches) · R2 4:57
- WinDennis SiverKO/TKO (punches) · R2 1:54
- WinDustin PoirierKO/TKO (punches) · R1 1:46
- WinConor McGregorSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 4:09
- WinMichael JohnsonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- LossRafael dos AnjosDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinGray MaynardKO/TKO (punches) · R1 2:38
- LossJosh ThomsonKO/TKO (head kick and punches) · R2 3:44
Tale of the tape
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Prelims: Fox Sports 1
Prelims: UFC Fight Pass
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Full card »FAQ
When and where is UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2?
Sat, Aug 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 202 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.