UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · Co-op Live, Manchester, England
44.6% (Elo 1600)
(Elo 1638) 55.4%
Result
Tom Aspinall wins by KO/TKO (punches)
round 1, 1:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Curtis Blaydes 55.4%: missed
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Tom Aspinall 1600, Curtis Blaydes 1638: a 38-point gap.
- Head-to-head
- They have met once; most recently on Jul 23, 2022: Curtis Blaydes wins by KO/TKO (knee injury).
- Common opponents
- Sergei Pavlovich (Aspinall: Win; Blaydes: Loss). Alexander Volkov (Aspinall: Win; Blaydes: Win).
- Form
- Tom Aspinall won 4 of the last 5, Curtis Blaydes won 4 of 5. Form is level.
- Verdict
- Curtis Blaydes slightly favoured · Curtis Blaydes 55.4% by Elo.
Tom Aspinall44.6%ELO55.4%Curtis Blaydes
1600 · Pre-fight Elo · 1638
Common opponents
| Opponent | Tom Aspinall | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Sergei Pavlovich | WinKO/TKO (punches), Nov 11, 2023 | LossKO/TKO (punches), Apr 22, 2023 |
| Alexander Volkov | WinSubmission (straight armbar), Mar 19, 2022 | WinDecision (unanimous), Jun 20, 2020 |
Recent form
Tom Aspinall · won 4 of last 5Curtis Blaydes · won 4 of last 5
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Tom Aspinall
- WinSergei PavlovichKO/TKO (punches) · R1 1:09
- WinMarcin TyburaKO/TKO (elbow and punches) · R1 1:13
- LossCurtis BlaydesKO/TKO (knee injury) · R1 0:15
- WinAlexander VolkovSubmission (straight armbar) · R1 3:45
- WinSerghei SpivacKO/TKO (elbow and punches) · R1 2:30
Curtis Blaydes
- WinJailton AlmeidaKO/TKO (punches) · R2 0:36
- LossSergei PavlovichKO/TKO (punches) · R1 3:08
- WinTom AspinallKO/TKO (knee injury) · R1 0:15
- WinChris DaukausKO/TKO (punches) · R2 0:17
- WinJairzinho RozenstruikDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Tale of the tape
31Age33
195.6 cmHeight193.0 cm
198.1 cmReach203.2 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
7-1-0UFC record13-4-0 (1 NC)
1618Peak Elo1642
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Prelims: ESPN 2 / ESPN+
Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
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FAQ
When and where is UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2?
Sat, Jul 27, 2024 at Co-op Live, Manchester, England.
How many rounds is this fight?
Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC 304 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.