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Daniel Rodriguez vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio: UFC on ESPN, May 3, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa, U.S.
SatMay 3KO/TKO · R3Welterweight
48.9% (Elo 1562)(Elo 1570) 51.1%

Result

Daniel Rodriguez wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 3, 1:12

Pre-fight Elo gave Santiago Ponzinibbio 51.1%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Daniel Rodriguez 1562, Santiago Ponzinibbio 1570: a 8-point gap.
Common opponents
Alex Morono (Rodriguez: Win; Ponzinibbio: Win). Neil Magny (Rodriguez: Loss; Ponzinibbio: Win). Li Jingliang (Rodriguez: Win; Ponzinibbio: Loss).
Form
Daniel Rodriguez won 2 of the last 5, Santiago Ponzinibbio won 2 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Santiago Ponzinibbio 51.1% by Elo.
Daniel Rodriguez48.9%ELO51.1%Santiago Ponzinibbio
1562 · Pre-fight Elo · 1570

Common opponents

OpponentDaniel RodriguezSantiago Ponzinibbio
Alex Morono
WinDecision (split), Oct 12, 2024
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 10, 2022
Neil Magny
LossSubmission (D'Arce choke), Nov 5, 2022
WinKO/TKO (punch), Nov 17, 2018
Li Jingliang
WinDecision (split), Sep 10, 2022
LossKO/TKO (punch), Jan 16, 2021
Mike Perry
WinDecision (unanimous), Apr 10, 2021
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 16, 2017

Recent form

Daniel Rodriguez · won 2 of last 5Santiago Ponzinibbio · won 2 of last 5
14501500155016001650201420162018202020222024Daniel Rodriguez 2020-02-15: 1518Daniel Rodriguez 2020-05-30: 1533Daniel Rodriguez 2020-08-22: 1548Daniel Rodriguez 2020-11-21: 1530Daniel Rodriguez 2021-04-10: 1546Daniel Rodriguez 2021-07-17: 1560Daniel Rodriguez 2021-08-28: 1577Daniel Rodriguez 2022-09-10: 1593Daniel Rodriguez 2022-11-05: 1579Daniel Rodriguez 2023-05-13: 1562Daniel Rodriguez 2024-06-22: 1545Daniel Rodriguez 2024-10-12: 1562Daniel Rodriguez 2025-05-03: 15791579Santiago Ponzinibbio 2013-11-09: 1485Santiago Ponzinibbio 2014-09-13: 1501Santiago Ponzinibbio 2015-02-22: 1519Santiago Ponzinibbio 2015-06-27: 1501Santiago Ponzinibbio 2015-12-10: 1516Santiago Ponzinibbio 2016-04-16: 1533Santiago Ponzinibbio 2016-08-06: 1550Santiago Ponzinibbio 2017-02-19: 1566Santiago Ponzinibbio 2017-07-16: 1582Santiago Ponzinibbio 2017-12-16: 1597Santiago Ponzinibbio 2018-11-17: 1614Santiago Ponzinibbio 2021-01-16: 1596Santiago Ponzinibbio 2021-06-05: 1610Santiago Ponzinibbio 2021-12-11: 1591Santiago Ponzinibbio 2022-05-21: 1573Santiago Ponzinibbio 2022-12-10: 1590Santiago Ponzinibbio 2023-04-08: 1573Santiago Ponzinibbio 2024-07-13: 1555Santiago Ponzinibbio 2025-01-11: 1570Santiago Ponzinibbio 2025-05-03: 15541554

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Daniel Rodriguez
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Tale of the tape

38Age38
182.9 cmHeight182.9 cm
188.0 cmReach185.4 cm
SouthpawStanceno data yet
8-4-0UFC record12-7-0
1594Peak Elo1614

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo?

Sat, May 3, 2025 at Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.