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Demian Maia vs. Gunnar Nelson: UFC 194, Dec 12, 2015

UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor · MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Demian Maia15-6-0
SatDec 12Decision · R3Welterweight
Gunnar Nelson5-1-0
58.9% (Elo 1621)(Elo 1559) 41.1%

Result

Demian Maia wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Demian Maia 58.9%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Demian Maia 1621, Gunnar Nelson 1559: a 62-point gap.
Common opponents
Rick Story (Maia: Win; Nelson: Loss). Jorge Santiago (Maia: Win; Nelson: Win).
Form
Demian Maia won 3 of the last 5, Gunnar Nelson won 4 of 5. Form favours Gunnar Nelson.
Verdict
Demian Maia slightly favoured · Demian Maia 58.9% by Elo. Form favours Gunnar Nelson.
Demian Maia58.9%ELO41.1%Gunnar Nelson
1621 · Pre-fight Elo · 1559

Common opponents

OpponentDemian MaiaGunnar Nelson
Rick Story
WinSubmission (neck crank), Oct 13, 2012
LossDecision (split), Oct 4, 2014
Jorge Santiago
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 8, 2011
WinDecision (unanimous), Feb 16, 2013

Recent form

Demian Maia · won 3 of last 5Gunnar Nelson · won 4 of last 5
1500155016001650200820092010201120122013201420152016Demian Maia 2007-10-20: 1515Demian Maia 2008-04-19: 1531Demian Maia 2008-08-09: 1547Demian Maia 2008-11-15: 1564Demian Maia 2009-02-21: 1577Demian Maia 2009-08-29: 1561Demian Maia 2010-02-06: 1575Demian Maia 2010-04-10: 1562Demian Maia 2010-08-28: 1576Demian Maia 2010-12-04: 1590Demian Maia 2011-06-11: 1572Demian Maia 2011-10-08: 1584Demian Maia 2012-01-28: 1566Demian Maia 2012-07-07: 1582Demian Maia 2012-10-13: 1597Demian Maia 2013-02-02: 1616Demian Maia 2013-10-09: 1596Demian Maia 2014-02-22: 1579Demian Maia 2014-05-31: 1591Demian Maia 2015-03-21: 1606Demian Maia 2015-08-01: 1621Demian Maia 2015-12-12: 16341634Gunnar Nelson 2012-09-29: 1516Gunnar Nelson 2013-02-16: 1529Gunnar Nelson 2014-03-08: 1544Gunnar Nelson 2014-07-19: 1560Gunnar Nelson 2014-10-04: 1544Gunnar Nelson 2015-07-11: 1559Gunnar Nelson 2015-12-12: 15451545

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Demian Maia
Gunnar Nelson

Tale of the tape

38Age27
182.9 cmHeight180.3 cm
182.9 cmReach182.9 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
15-6-0UFC record5-1-0
1672Peak Elo1579

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor

Full card »
Conor McGregor vs. José AldoKO/TKOLuke Rockhold vs. Chris WeidmanKO/TKOYoel Romero vs. Ronaldo SouzaDecisionMax Holloway vs. Jeremy StephensDecisionUrijah Faber vs. Frankie SaenzDecisionTecia Pennington vs. Jocelyn Jones-LybargerDecisionWarlley Alves vs. Colby CovingtonSubmissionLeonardo Santos vs. Kevin LeeKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 194: Aldo vs. McGregor?

Sat, Dec 12, 2015 at MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 194 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.