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Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento: UFC on ESPN, May 11, 2024

UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri, U.S.
Derrick Lewis18-10-0
SatMay 11KO/TKO · R3Heavyweight
Rodrigo Nascimento4-1-0 (1 NC)
55.0% (Elo 1584)(Elo 1549) 45.0%

Result

Derrick Lewis wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 3, 0:49

Pre-fight Elo gave Derrick Lewis 55.0%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Derrick Lewis 1584, Rodrigo Nascimento 1549: a 35-point gap.
Common opponents
Ilir Latifi (Lewis: Win; Nascimento: Win). Chris Daukaus (Lewis: Win; Nascimento: Loss).
Form
Derrick Lewis won 1 of the last 5, Rodrigo Nascimento won 3 of 5. Form favours Rodrigo Nascimento.
Verdict
Derrick Lewis slightly favoured · Derrick Lewis 55.0% by Elo. Form favours Rodrigo Nascimento.
Derrick Lewis55.0%ELO45.0%Rodrigo Nascimento
1584 · Pre-fight Elo · 1549

Common opponents

OpponentDerrick LewisRodrigo Nascimento
Ilir Latifi
WinDecision (unanimous), Feb 8, 2020
WinDecision (split), May 20, 2023
Chris Daukaus
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 18, 2021
LossKO/TKO (punches), Oct 11, 2020

Recent form

Derrick Lewis · won 1 of last 5Rodrigo Nascimento · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016001650201420162018202020222024Derrick Lewis 2014-04-19: 1516Derrick Lewis 2014-07-06: 1531Derrick Lewis 2014-09-05: 1516Derrick Lewis 2015-02-28: 1530Derrick Lewis 2015-06-06: 1514Derrick Lewis 2015-10-03: 1530Derrick Lewis 2016-02-06: 1544Derrick Lewis 2016-04-10: 1559Derrick Lewis 2016-07-07: 1573Derrick Lewis 2016-12-09: 1587Derrick Lewis 2017-02-19: 1601Derrick Lewis 2017-06-11: 1583Derrick Lewis 2018-02-18: 1596Derrick Lewis 2018-07-07: 1611Derrick Lewis 2018-10-06: 1625Derrick Lewis 2018-11-03: 1611Derrick Lewis 2019-03-09: 1596Derrick Lewis 2019-11-02: 1608Derrick Lewis 2020-02-08: 1621Derrick Lewis 2020-08-08: 1634Derrick Lewis 2021-02-20: 1649Derrick Lewis 2021-08-07: 1631Derrick Lewis 2021-12-18: 1644Derrick Lewis 2022-02-12: 1624Derrick Lewis 2022-07-30: 1604Derrick Lewis 2023-02-04: 1586Derrick Lewis 2023-07-29: 1601Derrick Lewis 2023-11-04: 1584Derrick Lewis 2024-05-11: 15981598Rodrigo Nascimento 2020-05-16: 1515Rodrigo Nascimento 2020-10-11: 1499Rodrigo Nascimento 2021-07-17: 1499Rodrigo Nascimento 2022-09-17: 1516Rodrigo Nascimento 2023-05-20: 1534Rodrigo Nascimento 2023-11-04: 1549Rodrigo Nascimento 2024-05-11: 15341534

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Derrick Lewis
Rodrigo Nascimento

Tale of the tape

39Age31
190.5 cmHeight193.0 cm
200.7 cmReach203.2 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
18-10-0UFC record4-1-0 (1 NC)
1649Peak Elo1549

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento

Full card »
Joaquin Buckley vs. Nursulton RuziboevDecisionCarlos Ulberg vs. Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKOCarlos Diego Ferreira vs. Mateusz RębeckiKO/TKOSean Woodson vs. Alex CaceresDecisionWaldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Robelis DespaigneDecisionChase Hooper vs. Viacheslav BorshchevSubmissionEsteban Ribovics vs. Terrance McKinneyKO/TKOTabatha Ricci vs. Tecia PenningtonDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento?

Sat, May 11, 2024 at Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Missouri, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.