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Derrick Lewis vs. Roy Nelson: UFC Fight Night, Jul 7, 2016

UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Derrick Lewis6-2-0
ThuJul 7Decision · R3Heavyweight
Roy Nelson8-8-0
56.8% (Elo 1559)(Elo 1512) 43.2%

Result

Derrick Lewis wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Derrick Lewis 56.8%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Derrick Lewis 1559, Roy Nelson 1512: a 47-point gap.
Common opponents
Matt Mitrione (Lewis: Loss; Nelson: Win).
Form
Derrick Lewis won 4 of the last 5, Roy Nelson won 2 of 5. Form favours Derrick Lewis.
Verdict
Derrick Lewis slightly favoured · Derrick Lewis 56.8% by Elo.
Derrick Lewis56.8%ELO43.2%Roy Nelson
1559 · Pre-fight Elo · 1512

Common opponents

OpponentDerrick LewisRoy Nelson
Matt Mitrione
LossKO/TKO (punches), Sep 5, 2014
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 15, 2012

Recent form

Derrick Lewis · won 4 of last 5Roy Nelson · won 2 of last 5
14501500155016002010201120122013201420152016Derrick Lewis 2014-04-19: 1516Derrick Lewis 2014-07-06: 1531Derrick Lewis 2014-09-05: 1516Derrick Lewis 2015-02-28: 1530Derrick Lewis 2015-06-06: 1514Derrick Lewis 2015-10-03: 1530Derrick Lewis 2016-02-06: 1544Derrick Lewis 2016-04-10: 1559Derrick Lewis 2016-07-07: 15731573Roy Nelson 2009-12-05: 1516Roy Nelson 2010-03-31: 1533Roy Nelson 2010-08-07: 1519Roy Nelson 2011-05-28: 1506Roy Nelson 2011-10-29: 1521Roy Nelson 2012-02-04: 1504Roy Nelson 2012-05-26: 1520Roy Nelson 2012-12-15: 1538Roy Nelson 2013-04-27: 1556Roy Nelson 2013-06-15: 1539Roy Nelson 2013-10-19: 1522Roy Nelson 2014-04-11: 1538Roy Nelson 2014-09-20: 1522Roy Nelson 2015-03-14: 1506Roy Nelson 2015-09-27: 1492Roy Nelson 2016-02-06: 1512Roy Nelson 2016-07-07: 14981498

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Derrick Lewis
Roy Nelson

Tale of the tape

31Age40
190.5 cmHeight182.9 cm
200.7 cmReachno data yet
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
6-2-0UFC record8-8-0
1649Peak Elo1556

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: UFC Fight Pass

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez

Full card »
Eddie Alvarez vs. Rafael dos AnjosKO/TKOAlan Jouban vs. Belal MuhammadDecisionJoseph Duffy vs. Mitch ClarkeSubmissionAlberto Mina vs. Mike PyleKO/TKOJohn Makdessi vs. Mehdi BaghdadDecisionAnthony Birchak vs. Dileno LopesDecisionPedro Munhoz vs. Russell DoaneSubmissionFelipe Arantes vs. Jerrod SandersSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez?

Thu, Jul 7, 2016 at MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.