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Sergei Pavlovich vs. Derrick Lewis: UFC 277, Jul 30, 2022

UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2 · American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas, U.S.
Sergei Pavlovich3-1-0
SatJul 30KO/TKO · R1Heavyweight
Derrick Lewis17-7-0
37.6% (Elo 1536)(Elo 1624) 62.4%

Result

Sergei Pavlovich wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 0:55

Pre-fight Elo gave Derrick Lewis 62.4%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Sergei Pavlovich 1536, Derrick Lewis 1624: a 88-point gap.
Common opponents
Shamil Abdurakhimov (Pavlovich: Win; Lewis: Win).
Form
Sergei Pavlovich won 3 of the last 4, Derrick Lewis won 3 of 5. Form favours Sergei Pavlovich.
Verdict
Derrick Lewis slightly favoured · Derrick Lewis 62.4% by Elo. Form favours Sergei Pavlovich.
Sergei Pavlovich37.6%ELO62.4%Derrick Lewis
1536 · Pre-fight Elo · 1624

Common opponents

OpponentSergei PavlovichDerrick Lewis
Shamil Abdurakhimov
WinKO/TKO (punches), Mar 19, 2022
WinKO/TKO (punches), Dec 9, 2016

Recent form

Sergei Pavlovich · won 3 of last 4Derrick Lewis · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016001650201420152016201720182019202020212022Sergei Pavlovich 2018-11-24: 1486Sergei Pavlovich 2019-04-20: 1502Sergei Pavlovich 2019-10-26: 1520Sergei Pavlovich 2022-03-19: 1536Sergei Pavlovich 2022-07-30: 15561556Derrick Lewis 2014-04-19: 1516Derrick Lewis 2014-07-06: 1531Derrick Lewis 2014-09-05: 1516Derrick Lewis 2015-02-28: 1530Derrick Lewis 2015-06-06: 1514Derrick Lewis 2015-10-03: 1530Derrick Lewis 2016-02-06: 1544Derrick Lewis 2016-04-10: 1559Derrick Lewis 2016-07-07: 1573Derrick Lewis 2016-12-09: 1587Derrick Lewis 2017-02-19: 1601Derrick Lewis 2017-06-11: 1583Derrick Lewis 2018-02-18: 1596Derrick Lewis 2018-07-07: 1611Derrick Lewis 2018-10-06: 1625Derrick Lewis 2018-11-03: 1611Derrick Lewis 2019-03-09: 1596Derrick Lewis 2019-11-02: 1608Derrick Lewis 2020-02-08: 1621Derrick Lewis 2020-08-08: 1634Derrick Lewis 2021-02-20: 1649Derrick Lewis 2021-08-07: 1631Derrick Lewis 2021-12-18: 1644Derrick Lewis 2022-02-12: 1624Derrick Lewis 2022-07-30: 16041604

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Sergei Pavlovich
Derrick Lewis

Tale of the tape

30Age37
190.5 cmHeight190.5 cm
213.4 cmReach200.7 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
3-1-0UFC record17-7-0
1607Peak Elo1649

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ABC / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2

Full card »
Amanda Nunes vs. Julianna PeñaDecisionBrandon Moreno vs. Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKOAlexandre Pantoja vs. Alex PerezSubmissionMagomed Ankalaev vs. Anthony SmithKO/TKOAlex Morono vs. Matthew SemelsbergerDecisionDrew Dober vs. Rafael AlvesKO/TKOHamdy Abdelwahab vs. Don'Tale MayesNCDrakkar Klose vs. Rafa GarcíaDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 277: Peña vs. Nunes 2?

Sat, Jul 30, 2022 at American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 277 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.