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Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias: UFC 326, Mar 7, 2026

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Diyar Nurgozhay0-2-0
SatMar 7Decision · R3Light Heavyweight
Rafael Tobias0-0-0
45.3% (Elo 1467)(Elo 1500) 54.7%

Result

Diyar Nurgozhay wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Rafael Tobias 54.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Diyar Nurgozhay 1467, Rafael Tobias 1500: a 33-point gap.
Form
Rafael Tobias is making a UFC debut, with no UFC fights to rate yet.
Verdict
Close fight · Rafael Tobias 54.7% by Elo.
Diyar Nurgozhay45.3%ELO54.7%Rafael Tobias
1467 · Pre-fight Elo · 1500

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Diyar Nurgozhay · won 0 of last 2Rafael Tobias
1450150020252026Diyar Nurgozhay 2025-03-15: 1483Diyar Nurgozhay 2025-08-23: 1467Diyar Nurgozhay 2026-03-07: 14851485Rafael Tobias 2026-03-07: 14831483

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Diyar Nurgozhay
Rafael Tobias

No UFC fights yet.

Tale of the tape

no data yetAgeno data yet
no data yetHeightno data yet
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
0-2-0UFC record0-0-0
1501Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Paramount+ / CBS

Prelims: Paramount+ / CBS

Early prelims: Paramount+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Full card »
Charles Oliveira vs. Max HollowayDecisionCaio Borralho vs. Reinier de RidderDecisionRaul Rosas Jr. vs. Rob FontDecisionDrew Dober vs. Michael JohnsonKO/TKOGregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno FerreiraKO/TKOCody Garbrandt vs. Xiao LongDecisionDonte Johnson vs. Cody BrundageDecisionAlberto Montes vs. Ricky TurciosSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?

Sat, Mar 7, 2026 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 326 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.