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Francis Marshall vs. Erik Silva: UFC Fight Night, Feb 28, 2026

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
Francis Marshall2-3-0
SatFeb 28Submission · R1Featherweight
Erik Silva0-2-0
52.0% (Elo 1484)(Elo 1470) 48.0%

Result

Francis Marshall wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 1, 2:29

Pre-fight Elo gave Francis Marshall 52.0%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Francis Marshall 1484, Erik Silva 1470: a 14-point gap.
Form
Francis Marshall won 2 of the last 5, Erik Silva won 0 of 2. Form favours Francis Marshall.
Verdict
Close fight · Francis Marshall 52.0% by Elo.
Francis Marshall52.0%ELO48.0%Erik Silva
1484 · Pre-fight Elo · 1470

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Francis Marshall · won 2 of last 5Erik Silva · won 0 of last 2
1450150015502023202420252026Francis Marshall 2022-12-03: 1515Francis Marshall 2023-04-22: 1499Francis Marshall 2023-08-12: 1483Francis Marshall 2024-08-24: 1499Francis Marshall 2025-03-08: 1484Francis Marshall 2026-02-28: 14991499Erik Silva 2022-12-10: 1483Erik Silva 2024-02-24: 1470Erik Silva 2026-02-28: 14541454

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Francis Marshall
Erik Silva
  • Loss
    Muhammad NaimovKO/TKO (leg injury) · R1 0:44
  • Loss
    T.J. BrownSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R3 3:41

Tale of the tape

no data yetAgeno data yet
no data yetHeightno data yet
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
2-3-0UFC record0-2-0
1515Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

Full card »
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Brandon MorenoDecisionDavid Martínez vs. Marlon VeraDecisionKing Green vs. Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKOÉdgar Cháirez vs. Felipe BunesDecisionImanol Rodríguez vs. Kevin BorjasKO/TKOSantiago Luna vs. Angel PachecoDecisionRyan Gandra vs. José MedinaKO/TKOAilín Pérez vs. Macy ChiassonDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh?

Sat, Feb 28, 2026 at Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.