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Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Geoff Neal: UFC 285, Mar 4, 2023

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
SatMar 4Submission · R3Catchweight
Geoff Neal7-2-0
48.3% (Elo 1575)(Elo 1587) 51.7%

Result

Shavkat Rakhmonov wins by Submission (rear-naked choke)

round 3, 4:17

Pre-fight Elo gave Geoff Neal 51.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Shavkat Rakhmonov 1575, Geoff Neal 1587: a 12-point gap.
Common opponents
Neil Magny (Rakhmonov: Win; Neal: Loss).
Form
Shavkat Rakhmonov won 4 of the last 4, Geoff Neal won 3 of 5. Form favours Shavkat Rakhmonov.
Verdict
Close fight · Geoff Neal 51.7% by Elo. Form favours Shavkat Rakhmonov.
Shavkat Rakhmonov48.3%ELO51.7%Geoff Neal
1575 · Pre-fight Elo · 1587

Common opponents

OpponentShavkat RakhmonovGeoff Neal
Neil Magny
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Jun 25, 2022
LossDecision (unanimous), May 8, 2021

Recent form

Shavkat Rakhmonov · won 4 of last 4Geoff Neal · won 3 of last 5
150015501600201820192020202120222023Shavkat Rakhmonov 2020-10-24: 1519Shavkat Rakhmonov 2021-06-26: 1538Shavkat Rakhmonov 2022-02-05: 1554Shavkat Rakhmonov 2022-06-25: 1575Shavkat Rakhmonov 2023-03-04: 15911591Geoff Neal 2018-02-18: 1515Geoff Neal 2018-09-08: 1529Geoff Neal 2019-01-19: 1546Geoff Neal 2019-07-27: 1563Geoff Neal 2019-12-14: 1577Geoff Neal 2020-12-19: 1562Geoff Neal 2021-05-08: 1549Geoff Neal 2021-12-11: 1567Geoff Neal 2022-08-06: 1587Geoff Neal 2023-03-04: 15701570

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Shavkat Rakhmonov
  • Win
    Neil MagnySubmission (guillotine choke) · R2 4:58
  • Win
    Carlston HarrisKO/TKO (spinning hook kick and punches) · R1 4:10
  • Win
    Michel PrazeresSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 2:10
  • Win
    Alex OliveiraSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:40
Geoff Neal

Tale of the tape

28Age32
185.4 cmHeight180.3 cm
195.6 cmReach190.5 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
4-0-0UFC record7-2-0
1624Peak Elo1587

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane

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FAQ

When and where is UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane?

Sat, Mar 4, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 285 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.