Result
Thomas Petersen wins by Decision (majority)
round 3, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Guilherme Pat 54.1%: missed
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Thomas Petersen 1487, Guilherme Pat 1516: a 29-point gap.
- Form
- Thomas Petersen won 2 of the last 5, Guilherme Pat won 1 of 1. Form favours Guilherme Pat.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Guilherme Pat 54.1% by Elo.
Common opponents
The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.
Recent form
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
- LossVitor PetrinoKO/TKO (punches) · R3 0:26
- WinDon'Tale MayesDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- LossShamil GazievKO/TKO (punch) · R1 3:12
- WinMohammed UsmanDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- LossJamal PoguesDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinAllen Frye Jr.Decision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Tale of the tape
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: Paramount+
Prelims: Paramount+
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Full card »FAQ
When and where is UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan?
Sat, Apr 4, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.