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Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana: UFC on ESPN, Oct 4, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Holly Holm6-5-0
SunOct 4Decision · R5Women's Bantamweight
Irene Aldana5-3-0
48.6% (Elo 1527)(Elo 1537) 51.4%

Result

Holly Holm wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Irene Aldana 51.4%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Holly Holm 1527, Irene Aldana 1537: a 10-point gap.
Common opponents
Raquel Pennington (Holm: Win ×2; Aldana: Loss). Bethe Correia (Holm: Win; Aldana: Win).
Form
Holly Holm won 3 of the last 5, Irene Aldana won 4 of 5. Form favours Irene Aldana.
Verdict
Close fight · Irene Aldana 51.4% by Elo.
Holly Holm48.6%ELO51.4%Irene Aldana
1527 · Pre-fight Elo · 1537

Common opponents

OpponentHolly HolmIrene Aldana
Raquel Pennington
WinDecision (split), Feb 28, 2015
WinDecision (unanimous), Jan 18, 2020
LossDecision (split), Jul 20, 2019
Bethe Correia
WinKO/TKO (head kick and punch), Jun 17, 2017
WinSubmission (armbar), May 11, 2019

Recent form

Holly Holm · won 3 of last 5Irene Aldana · won 4 of last 5
14501500155016002015201620172018201920202021Holly Holm 2015-02-28: 1517Holly Holm 2015-07-15: 1533Holly Holm 2015-11-15: 1552Holly Holm 2016-03-05: 1535Holly Holm 2016-07-23: 1518Holly Holm 2017-02-11: 1502Holly Holm 2017-06-17: 1519Holly Holm 2017-12-30: 1505Holly Holm 2018-06-09: 1520Holly Holm 2019-07-06: 1509Holly Holm 2020-01-18: 1527Holly Holm 2020-10-04: 15441544Irene Aldana 2016-12-17: 1483Irene Aldana 2017-04-08: 1468Irene Aldana 2018-01-14: 1485Irene Aldana 2018-09-08: 1502Irene Aldana 2019-05-11: 1519Irene Aldana 2019-07-20: 1503Irene Aldana 2019-09-21: 1519Irene Aldana 2019-12-14: 1537Irene Aldana 2020-10-04: 15211521

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Holly Holm
Irene Aldana

Tale of the tape

38Age32
172.7 cmHeight175.3 cm
no data yetReach175.3 cm
SouthpawStanceno data yet
6-5-0UFC record5-3-0
1552Peak Elo1560

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

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FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana?

Sun, Oct 4, 2020 at du Forum, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.