Marvin Vettori vs. Jack Hermansson: UFC on ESPN, Dec 5, 2020

UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.

Marvin Vettori5-2-1

SatDec 5Decision · R5Middleweight

Jack Hermansson8-3-0

45.7% (Elo 1551)

(Elo 1581) 54.3%

Result

Marvin Vettori wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Jack Hermansson 54.3%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Marvin Vettori 1551, Jack Hermansson 1581: a 30-point gap.
Common opponents: Cezar Ferreira (Vettori: Win; Hermansson: Loss).
Form: Marvin Vettori won 3 of the last 5, Jack Hermansson won 4 of 5. Form favours Jack Hermansson.
Verdict: Close fight · Jack Hermansson 54.3% by Elo.

Marvin Vettori45.7%ELO54.3%Jack Hermansson

1551 · Pre-fight Elo · 1581

Common opponents

Opponent	Marvin Vettori	Jack Hermansson
Cezar Ferreira	WinDecision (unanimous), Jul 13, 2019	LossSubmission (arm-triangle choke), Nov 19, 2016

Recent form

Marvin Vettori · won 3 of last 5Jack Hermansson · won 4 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Marvin Vettori

Win
Karl RobersonSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 4:17
Jun 13, 2020
Win
Andrew SanchezDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Oct 12, 2019
Win
Cezar FerreiraDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jul 13, 2019
Loss
Israel AdesanyaDecision (split) · R3 5:00
Apr 14, 2018
Draw
Omari AkhmedovDraw (majority) · R3 5:00
Dec 30, 2017

Jack Hermansson

Win
Kelvin GastelumSubmission (heel hook) · R1 1:18
Jul 19, 2020
Loss
Jared CannonierKO/TKO (punches) · R2 0:27
Sep 28, 2019
Win
Ronaldo SouzaDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
Apr 27, 2019
Win
David BranchSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 0:49
Mar 30, 2019
Win
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:25
Dec 15, 2018

Tale of the tape

27Age32

182.9 cmHeight185.4 cm

188.0 cmReach195.6 cm

SouthpawStanceOrthodox

5-2-1UFC record8-3-0

1590Peak Elo1583

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

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FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori?

Sat, Dec 5, 2020 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.