ENVI
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Rory MacDonald vs. Jake Ellenberger: UFC on Fox, Jul 27, 2013

UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Moraga · Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Washington, U.S.
Rory MacDonald5-1-0
SatJul 27Decision · R3Welterweight
Jake Ellenberger8-2-0
46.2% (Elo 1568)(Elo 1594) 53.8%

Result

Rory MacDonald wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Jake Ellenberger 53.8%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Rory MacDonald 1568, Jake Ellenberger 1594: a 26-point gap.
Common opponents
Mike Pyle (MacDonald: Win; Ellenberger: Win). Carlos Condit (MacDonald: Loss; Ellenberger: Loss).
Form
Rory MacDonald won 4 of the last 5, Jake Ellenberger won 4 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Jake Ellenberger 53.8% by Elo.
Rory MacDonald46.2%ELO53.8%Jake Ellenberger
1568 · Pre-fight Elo · 1594

Common opponents

OpponentRory MacDonaldJake Ellenberger
Mike Pyle
WinKO/TKO (punches), Aug 6, 2011
WinKO/TKO (punches), Jan 2, 2010
Carlos Condit
LossKO/TKO (punches), Jun 12, 2010
LossDecision (split), Sep 16, 2009

Recent form

Rory MacDonald · won 4 of last 5Jake Ellenberger · won 4 of last 5
14501500155016002010201120122013Rory MacDonald 2010-01-11: 1516Rory MacDonald 2010-06-12: 1499Rory MacDonald 2011-04-30: 1518Rory MacDonald 2011-08-06: 1535Rory MacDonald 2012-04-21: 1550Rory MacDonald 2012-12-08: 1568Rory MacDonald 2013-07-27: 15851585Jake Ellenberger 2009-09-16: 1483Jake Ellenberger 2010-01-02: 1500Jake Ellenberger 2010-08-01: 1519Jake Ellenberger 2011-02-05: 1535Jake Ellenberger 2011-04-30: 1550Jake Ellenberger 2011-09-17: 1564Jake Ellenberger 2012-02-15: 1582Jake Ellenberger 2012-06-01: 1566Jake Ellenberger 2012-10-05: 1578Jake Ellenberger 2013-03-16: 1594Jake Ellenberger 2013-07-27: 15771577

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Rory MacDonald
  • Win
    B.J. PennDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Che MillsKO/TKO (punches) · R2 2:20
  • Win
    Mike PyleKO/TKO (punches) · R1 3:54
  • Win
    Nate DiazDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Carlos ConditKO/TKO (punches) · R3 4:53
Jake Ellenberger

Tale of the tape

24Age28
182.9 cmHeight175.0 cm
193.0 cmReach180.3 cm
OrthodoxStanceno data yet
5-1-0UFC record8-2-0
1610Peak Elo1594

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox

Prelims: FX

Prelims: Facebook

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Moraga

Full card »
Demetrious Johnson vs. John MoragaSubmissionRobbie Lawler vs. Bobby VoelkerKO/TKOLiz Carmouche vs. Jéssica AndradeKO/TKOJorge Masvidal vs. Michael ChiesaSubmissionDanny Castillo vs. Tim MeansDecisionMelvin Guillard vs. Mac DanzigKO/TKODaron Cruickshank vs. Yves EdwardsDecisionEd Herman vs. Trevor SmithDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Moraga?

Sat, Jul 27, 2013 at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Washington, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Moraga (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.