Result
Rafael Estevam wins by Decision (unanimous)
round 3, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Jesús Santos Aguilar 52.3%: missed
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Rafael Estevam 1515, Jesús Santos Aguilar 1531: a 16-point gap.
- Form
- Rafael Estevam won 1 of the last 1, Jesús Santos Aguilar won 3 of 4. Form favours Rafael Estevam.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Jesús Santos Aguilar 52.3% by Elo. Form favours Rafael Estevam.
Common opponents
The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.
Recent form
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
- WinCharles JohnsonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinStewart NicollSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 2:39
- WinMateus MendonçaDecision (split) · R3 5:00
- WinShannon RossKO/TKO (punch) · R1 0:17
- LossTatsuro TairaSubmission (triangle armbar) · R1 4:20
Tale of the tape
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Full card »FAQ
When and where is UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues?
Sat, Feb 15, 2025 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.