UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
48.4% (Elo 1539)
(Elo 1550) 51.6%
Result
Melquizael Costa wins by Decision (unanimous)
round 3, 5:00
Pre-fight Elo gave Julian Erosa 51.6%: missed
Elo prediction
- Elo
- Melquizael Costa 1539, Julian Erosa 1550: a 11-point gap.
- Common opponents
- Christian Rodriguez (Costa: Win; Erosa: Win).
- Form
- Melquizael Costa won 4 of the last 5, Julian Erosa won 3 of 5. Form favours Melquizael Costa.
- Verdict
- Close fight · Julian Erosa 51.6% by Elo. Form favours Melquizael Costa.
Melquizael Costa48.4%ELO51.6%Julian Erosa
1539 · Pre-fight Elo · 1550
Common opponents
| Opponent | Melquizael Costa | Julian Erosa |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Rodriguez | WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 29, 2025 | WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Jul 13, 2024 |
Recent form
Melquizael Costa · won 4 of last 5Julian Erosa · won 3 of last 5
Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.
Melquizael Costa
- WinChristian RodriguezDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
- WinAndre FiliSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:30
- WinShayilan NuerdanbiekeSubmission (face crank) · R3 1:50
- LossSteve GarciaKO/TKO (elbows) · R2 1:01
- WinAustin LingoDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Julian Erosa
- WinDarren ElkinsKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:15
- WinChristian RodriguezSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:49
- WinRicardo RamosSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 2:15
- LossFernando PadillaKO/TKO (punches) · R1 1:41
- LossAlex CaceresKO/TKO (head kick and punches) · R1 3:04
Tale of the tape
28Age35
177.8 cmHeight185.4 cm
180.3 cmReach188.0 cm
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
4-2-0UFC record9-7-0
1584Peak Elo1550
Records and Elo count UFC fights only.
Where to watch
Main card: ESPN+
Prelims: ESPN+
Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.
More fights at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Full card »Michael Morales vs. Gilbert BurnsKO/TKOMairon Santos vs. Sodiq YusuffDecisionNursulton Ruziboev vs. Dustin StoltzfusDecisionGabriel Green vs. Matheus CamiloSubmissionJared Gordon vs. Thiago MoisésKO/TKOYadier del Valle vs. Connor MatthewsSubmissionLuana Santos vs. Tainara LisboaSubmissionDenise Gomes vs. Elise ReedKO/TKO
FAQ
When and where is UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales?
Sat, May 17, 2025 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..
How many rounds is this fight?
Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.
How does eloline's Elo work?
Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.
Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.