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Julian Marquez vs. Maki Pitolo: UFC 258, Feb 13, 2021

UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Julian Marquez1-1-0
SatFeb 13Submission · R3Middleweight
Maki Pitolo1-3-0
54.2% (Elo 1498)(Elo 1468) 45.8%

Result

Julian Marquez wins by Submission (anaconda choke)

round 3, 4:17

Pre-fight Elo gave Julian Marquez 54.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Julian Marquez 1498, Maki Pitolo 1468: a 30-point gap.
Common opponents
Darren Stewart (Marquez: Win; Pitolo: Loss).
Form
Julian Marquez won 1 of the last 2, Maki Pitolo won 1 of 4. Form favours Julian Marquez.
Verdict
Close fight · Julian Marquez 54.2% by Elo.
Julian Marquez54.2%ELO45.8%Maki Pitolo
1498 · Pre-fight Elo · 1468

Common opponents

OpponentJulian MarquezMaki Pitolo
Darren Stewart
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Dec 16, 2017
LossSubmission (guillotine choke), Aug 8, 2020

Recent form

Julian Marquez · won 1 of last 2Maki Pitolo · won 1 of last 4
1450150015502018201920202021Julian Marquez 2017-12-16: 1515Julian Marquez 2018-07-06: 1498Julian Marquez 2021-02-13: 15131513Maki Pitolo 2019-10-05: 1483Maki Pitolo 2020-06-06: 1499Maki Pitolo 2020-08-08: 1484Maki Pitolo 2020-08-29: 1468Maki Pitolo 2021-02-13: 14541454

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Julian Marquez
Maki Pitolo

Tale of the tape

30Age30
188.0 cmHeight175.3 cm
182.9 cmReach185.4 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
1-1-0UFC record1-3-0
1528Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns

Full card »
Kamaru Usman vs. Gilbert BurnsKO/TKOAlexa Grasso vs. Maycee BarberDecisionKelvin Gastelum vs. Ian HeinischDecisionRicky Simón vs. Brian KelleherDecisionAnthony Hernandez vs. Rodolfo VieiraSubmissionBelal Muhammad vs. Dhiego LimaDecisionPolyana Viana vs. Mallory MartinSubmissionChris Gutiérrez vs. Andre EwellDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns?

Sat, Feb 13, 2021 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 258 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.