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Khamzat Chimaev vs. Kamaru Usman: UFC 294, Oct 21, 2023

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
SatOct 21Decision · R3Middleweight
Kamaru Usman15-2-0
37.8% (Elo 1599)(Elo 1685) 62.2%

Result

Khamzat Chimaev wins by Decision (majority)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Kamaru Usman 62.2%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Khamzat Chimaev 1599, Kamaru Usman 1685: a 86-point gap.
Common opponents
Gilbert Burns (Chimaev: Win; Usman: Win).
Form
Khamzat Chimaev won 5 of the last 5, Kamaru Usman won 3 of 5. Form favours Khamzat Chimaev.
Verdict
Kamaru Usman slightly favoured · Kamaru Usman 62.2% by Elo. Form favours Khamzat Chimaev.
Khamzat Chimaev37.8%ELO62.2%Kamaru Usman
1599 · Pre-fight Elo · 1685

Common opponents

OpponentKhamzat ChimaevKamaru Usman
Gilbert Burns
WinDecision (unanimous), Apr 9, 2022
WinKO/TKO (punches), Feb 13, 2021

Recent form

Khamzat Chimaev · won 5 of last 5Kamaru Usman · won 3 of last 5
150015501600165017001750201620172018201920202021202220232024Khamzat Chimaev 2020-07-16: 1515Khamzat Chimaev 2020-07-26: 1530Khamzat Chimaev 2020-09-19: 1545Khamzat Chimaev 2021-10-30: 1563Khamzat Chimaev 2022-04-09: 1582Khamzat Chimaev 2022-09-10: 1599Khamzat Chimaev 2023-10-21: 16191619Kamaru Usman 2015-07-12: 1516Kamaru Usman 2015-12-19: 1532Kamaru Usman 2016-07-23: 1547Kamaru Usman 2016-11-19: 1563Kamaru Usman 2017-04-08: 1579Kamaru Usman 2017-09-16: 1595Kamaru Usman 2018-01-14: 1607Kamaru Usman 2018-05-19: 1625Kamaru Usman 2018-11-30: 1641Kamaru Usman 2019-03-02: 1657Kamaru Usman 2019-12-14: 1672Kamaru Usman 2020-07-12: 1685Kamaru Usman 2021-02-13: 1699Kamaru Usman 2021-04-24: 1710Kamaru Usman 2021-11-06: 1723Kamaru Usman 2022-08-20: 1703Kamaru Usman 2023-03-18: 1685Kamaru Usman 2023-10-21: 16651665

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Khamzat Chimaev
Kamaru Usman

Tale of the tape

29Age36
188.0 cmHeight182.9 cm
190.5 cmReach193.0 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
6-0-0UFC record15-2-0
1654Peak Elo1723

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2

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FAQ

When and where is UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2?

Sat, Oct 21, 2023 at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 294 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.