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Tom Breese vs. Keita Nakamura: UFC Fight Night, Feb 27, 2016

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping · The O2 Arena, London, England
Tom Breese2-0-0
SatFeb 27Decision · R3Welterweight
58.6% (Elo 1532)(Elo 1472) 41.4%

Result

Tom Breese wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Tom Breese 58.6%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Tom Breese 1532, Keita Nakamura 1472: a 60-point gap.
Form
Tom Breese won 2 of the last 2, Keita Nakamura won 1 of 4. Form favours Tom Breese.
Verdict
Tom Breese slightly favoured · Tom Breese 58.6% by Elo.
Tom Breese58.6%ELO41.4%Keita Nakamura
1532 · Pre-fight Elo · 1472

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Tom Breese · won 2 of last 2Keita Nakamura · won 1 of last 4
14501500155020072009201120132015Tom Breese 2015-05-30: 1515Tom Breese 2015-10-24: 1532Tom Breese 2016-02-27: 15461546Keita Nakamura 2006-12-13: 1483Keita Nakamura 2007-04-05: 1468Keita Nakamura 2008-02-02: 1454Keita Nakamura 2015-09-27: 1472Keita Nakamura 2016-02-27: 14591459

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Tom Breese
Keita Nakamura
  • Win
    Li JingliangSubmission (standing rear-naked choke) · R3 2:17
  • Loss
    Rob EmersonDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Drew FickettDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Brock LarsonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00

Tale of the tape

24Age31
190.5 cmHeight180.3 cm
185.4 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
2-0-0UFC record1-3-0
1547Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: UFC Fight Pass

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping?

Sat, Feb 27, 2016 at The O2 Arena, London, England.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Bisping (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.