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Vicente Luque vs. Kelvin Gastelum: UFC 327, Apr 11, 2026

UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg · Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida, U.S.
SatApr 11Submission · R1Middleweight
Kelvin Gastelum14-10-0 (1 NC)
54.3% (Elo 1590)(Elo 1560) 45.7%

Result

Vicente Luque wins by Submission (anaconda choke)

round 1, 4:08

Pre-fight Elo gave Vicente Luque 54.3%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Vicente Luque 1590, Kelvin Gastelum 1560: a 30-point gap.
Common opponents
Tyron Woodley (Luque: Win; Gastelum: Loss).
Form
Vicente Luque won 2 of the last 5, Kelvin Gastelum won 3 of 5. Form favours Kelvin Gastelum.
Verdict
Close fight · Vicente Luque 54.3% by Elo. Form favours Kelvin Gastelum.
Vicente Luque54.3%ELO45.7%Kelvin Gastelum
1590 · Pre-fight Elo · 1560

Common opponents

OpponentVicente LuqueKelvin Gastelum
Tyron Woodley
WinSubmission (brabo choke), Mar 27, 2021
LossDecision (split), Jan 31, 2015

Recent form

Vicente Luque · won 2 of last 5Kelvin Gastelum · won 3 of last 5
1450150015501600165017002013201520172019202120232025Vicente Luque 2015-07-12: 1484Vicente Luque 2015-12-19: 1500Vicente Luque 2016-07-07: 1517Vicente Luque 2016-09-24: 1532Vicente Luque 2016-11-12: 1547Vicente Luque 2017-03-18: 1530Vicente Luque 2017-10-28: 1546Vicente Luque 2018-05-19: 1563Vicente Luque 2018-10-06: 1576Vicente Luque 2019-02-17: 1590Vicente Luque 2019-05-18: 1602Vicente Luque 2019-08-10: 1615Vicente Luque 2019-11-02: 1597Vicente Luque 2020-05-09: 1611Vicente Luque 2020-08-01: 1624Vicente Luque 2021-03-27: 1638Vicente Luque 2021-08-07: 1653Vicente Luque 2022-04-16: 1636Vicente Luque 2022-08-06: 1617Vicente Luque 2023-08-12: 1633Vicente Luque 2024-03-30: 1613Vicente Luque 2024-12-07: 1626Vicente Luque 2025-06-07: 1607Vicente Luque 2025-10-11: 1590Vicente Luque 2026-04-11: 16041604Kelvin Gastelum 2013-04-13: 1516Kelvin Gastelum 2013-08-28: 1532Kelvin Gastelum 2014-03-15: 1549Kelvin Gastelum 2014-06-28: 1565Kelvin Gastelum 2014-11-15: 1580Kelvin Gastelum 2015-01-31: 1563Kelvin Gastelum 2015-06-13: 1578Kelvin Gastelum 2015-11-21: 1563Kelvin Gastelum 2016-07-09: 1581Kelvin Gastelum 2016-12-10: 1595Kelvin Gastelum 2017-03-11: 1595Kelvin Gastelum 2017-07-22: 1579Kelvin Gastelum 2017-11-25: 1598Kelvin Gastelum 2018-05-12: 1614Kelvin Gastelum 2019-04-13: 1597Kelvin Gastelum 2019-11-02: 1579Kelvin Gastelum 2020-07-19: 1562Kelvin Gastelum 2021-02-13: 1577Kelvin Gastelum 2021-04-17: 1564Kelvin Gastelum 2021-08-21: 1547Kelvin Gastelum 2023-04-08: 1563Kelvin Gastelum 2023-12-02: 1548Kelvin Gastelum 2024-06-22: 1564Kelvin Gastelum 2025-06-07: 1547Kelvin Gastelum 2025-09-13: 1560Kelvin Gastelum 2026-04-11: 15451545

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Vicente Luque
Kelvin Gastelum

Tale of the tape

34Age34
180.3 cmHeight175.3 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceSouthpaw
16-8-0UFC record14-10-0 (1 NC)
1653Peak Elo1614

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Fight card: Paramount+ / CBS

Prelims: Paramount+ / CBS

Early prelims: Paramount+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg?

Sat, Apr 11, 2026 at Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 327 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.