ENVI
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Rafael Natal vs. Kevin Casey: UFC on Fox, Jan 30, 2016

UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Bader · Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, U.S.
Rafael Natal8-4-1
SatJan 30KO/TKO · R3Middleweight
Kevin Casey1-1-0 (2 NC)
58.2% (Elo 1560)(Elo 1502) 41.8%

Result

Rafael Natal wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 3, 3:37

Pre-fight Elo gave Rafael Natal 58.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Rafael Natal 1560, Kevin Casey 1502: a 58-point gap.
Form
Rafael Natal won 3 of the last 5, Kevin Casey won 1 of 4. Form favours Rafael Natal.
Verdict
Rafael Natal slightly favoured · Rafael Natal 58.2% by Elo.
Rafael Natal58.2%ELO41.8%Kevin Casey
1560 · Pre-fight Elo · 1502

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Rafael Natal · won 3 of last 5Kevin Casey · won 1 of last 4
1450150015501600201120122013201420152016Rafael Natal 2010-09-15: 1485Rafael Natal 2010-12-11: 1485Rafael Natal 2011-08-06: 1502Rafael Natal 2012-02-04: 1518Rafael Natal 2012-07-11: 1502Rafael Natal 2013-01-26: 1518Rafael Natal 2013-05-18: 1533Rafael Natal 2013-09-04: 1548Rafael Natal 2013-11-06: 1531Rafael Natal 2014-05-10: 1515Rafael Natal 2014-09-05: 1531Rafael Natal 2015-01-31: 1545Rafael Natal 2015-05-23: 1560Rafael Natal 2016-01-30: 15731573Kevin Casey 2013-04-13: 1484Kevin Casey 2014-07-05: 1484Kevin Casey 2015-07-15: 1502Kevin Casey 2015-12-10: 1502Kevin Casey 2016-01-30: 14891489

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Rafael Natal
  • Win
    Uriah HallDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Tom WatsonDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Chris CamozziDecision (split) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Ed HermanDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Tim KennedyKO/TKO (punches) · R1 4:40
Kevin Casey

Tale of the tape

33Age34
182.9 cmHeight180.3 cm
193.0 cmReachno data yet
orthodoxStanceno data yet
8-4-1UFC record1-1-0 (2 NC)
1573Peak Elo1502

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Bader

Full card »
Anthony Johnson vs. Ryan BaderKO/TKOBen Rothwell vs. Josh BarnettSubmissionJimmie Rivera vs. Iuri AlcântaraDecisionBryan Barberena vs. Sage NorthcuttSubmissionTarec Saffiedine vs. Jake EllenbergerDecisionCarlos Diego Ferreira vs. Olivier Aubin-MercierDecisionWilson Reis vs. Dustin OrtizDecisionAlexander Yakovlev vs. George SullivanKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Bader?

Sat, Jan 30, 2016 at Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Bader (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.