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Vince Morales vs. Louis Smolka: UFC on ESPN, Dec 4, 2021

UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Vince Morales2-3-0
SatDec 4KO/TKO · R1Bantamweight
Louis Smolka8-7-0
46.6% (Elo 1488)(Elo 1512) 53.4%

Result

Vince Morales wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 2:02

Pre-fight Elo gave Louis Smolka 53.4%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Vince Morales 1488, Louis Smolka 1512: a 24-point gap.
Form
Vince Morales won 2 of the last 5, Louis Smolka won 3 of 5. Form favours Louis Smolka.
Verdict
Close fight · Louis Smolka 53.4% by Elo.
Vince Morales46.6%ELO53.4%Louis Smolka
1488 · Pre-fight Elo · 1512

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Vince Morales · won 2 of last 5Louis Smolka · won 3 of last 5
1450150015501600201420152016201720182019202020212022Vince Morales 2018-11-24: 1485Vince Morales 2019-05-04: 1502Vince Morales 2019-07-13: 1486Vince Morales 2020-05-30: 1471Vince Morales 2021-08-07: 1488Vince Morales 2021-12-04: 15051505Louis Smolka 2014-01-15: 1517Louis Smolka 2014-05-10: 1502Louis Smolka 2014-11-08: 1518Louis Smolka 2015-07-11: 1534Louis Smolka 2015-10-24: 1550Louis Smolka 2016-07-13: 1565Louis Smolka 2016-10-01: 1546Louis Smolka 2016-12-30: 1528Louis Smolka 2017-04-15: 1509Louis Smolka 2017-12-30: 1494Louis Smolka 2018-11-24: 1511Louis Smolka 2019-03-09: 1494Louis Smolka 2019-09-14: 1510Louis Smolka 2020-05-30: 1494Louis Smolka 2020-12-05: 1512Louis Smolka 2021-12-04: 14951495

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Vince Morales
Louis Smolka

Tale of the tape

31Age30
170.2 cmHeight175.3 cm
177.8 cmReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
2-3-0UFC record8-7-0
1505Peak Elo1565

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN/ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN/ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo

Full card »
José Aldo vs. Rob FontDecisionRafael Fiziev vs. Brad RiddellKO/TKOJamahal Hill vs. Jimmy CruteKO/TKOClay Guida vs. Leonardo SantosSubmissionChris Curtis vs. Brendan AllenKO/TKOAlex Morono vs. Mickey GallDecisionDuško Todorović vs. Maki PitoloKO/TKOManel Kape vs. Zhalgas ZhumagulovKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo?

Sat, Dec 4, 2021 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.