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Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias: UFC 330, Aug 15, 2026

UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S.
Lucas Fernando0-0-0
SatAug 15KO/TKO · R3Light Heavyweight
Rafael Tobias0-1-0
52.5% (Elo 1500)(Elo 1483) 47.5%

Result

Lucas Fernando wins by KO/TKO (knee to the body and elbows)

round 3, 1:10

Pre-fight Elo gave Lucas Fernando 52.5%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Lucas Fernando 1500, Rafael Tobias 1483: a 17-point gap.
Form
Lucas Fernando is making a UFC debut, with no UFC fights to rate yet.
Verdict
Close fight · Lucas Fernando 52.5% by Elo.
Lucas Fernando52.5%ELO47.5%Rafael Tobias
1500 · Pre-fight Elo · 1483

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Lucas FernandoRafael Tobias · won 0 of last 1
1450150015502026Lucas Fernando 2026-08-15: 15151515Rafael Tobias 2026-03-07: 1483Rafael Tobias 2026-08-15: 14671467

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Lucas Fernando

No UFC fights yet.

Rafael Tobias

Tale of the tape

no data yetAgeno data yet
no data yetHeightno data yet
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
0-0-0UFC record0-1-0
1515Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Paramount+

Prelims: Paramount+

Early prelims: Paramount+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Full card »
Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado GarryDecisionMackenzie Dern vs. Gillian RobertsonDecisionJalin Turner vs. Kauê FernandesKO/TKODustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-MalikSubmissionEsteban Ribovics vs. Edson BarbozaKO/TKOChidi Njokuani vs. Joel ÁlvarezDecisionCharles Johnson vs. Eduardo HenriqueSubmissionDonte Johnson vs. Eric McConico Jr.KO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry?

Sat, Aug 15, 2026 at Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 330 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.