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Marcus Davis vs. Paul Kelly: UFC 89, Oct 18, 2008

UFC 89: Bisping vs. Leben · National Indoor Arena, Birmingham, England
SatOct 18Submission · R2Welterweight
Paul Kelly1-0-0
56.5% (Elo 1561)(Elo 1516) 43.5%

Result

Marcus Davis wins by Submission (guillotine choke)

round 2, 2:16

Pre-fight Elo gave Marcus Davis 56.5%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Marcus Davis 1561, Paul Kelly 1516: a 45-point gap.
Common opponents
Paul Taylor (Davis: Win; Kelly: Win).
Form
Marcus Davis won 4 of the last 5, Paul Kelly won 1 of 1. Form favours Paul Kelly.
Verdict
Marcus Davis slightly favoured · Marcus Davis 56.5% by Elo. Form favours Paul Kelly.
Marcus Davis56.5%ELO43.5%Paul Kelly
1561 · Pre-fight Elo · 1516

Common opponents

OpponentMarcus DavisPaul Kelly
Paul Taylor
WinSubmission (armbar), Sep 8, 2007
WinDecision (unanimous), Jan 19, 2008

Recent form

Marcus Davis · won 4 of last 5Paul Kelly · won 1 of last 1
14501500155016002006200720082009Marcus Davis 2005-11-05: 1484Marcus Davis 2006-10-10: 1501Marcus Davis 2006-12-13: 1518Marcus Davis 2007-04-07: 1534Marcus Davis 2007-06-16: 1548Marcus Davis 2007-09-08: 1563Marcus Davis 2008-01-19: 1577Marcus Davis 2008-06-07: 1561Marcus Davis 2008-10-18: 15751575Paul Kelly 2008-01-19: 1516Paul Kelly 2008-10-18: 15021502

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Marcus Davis
  • Loss
    Mike SwickDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Win
    Jess LiaudinKO/TKO (punch) · R1 1:04
  • Win
    Paul TaylorSubmission (armbar) · R1 4:14
  • Win
    Jason TanKO/TKO (punch) · R1 1:15
  • Win
    Pete SprattSubmission (ankle lock) · R2 2:57
Paul Kelly
  • Win
    Paul TaylorDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00

Tale of the tape

35Age24
172.7 cmHeight175.3 cm
177.8 cmReach177.8 cm
SouthpawStanceno data yet
6-2-0UFC record1-0-0
1587Peak Elo1534

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Spike TV

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 89: Bisping vs. Leben

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 89: Bisping vs. Leben?

Sat, Oct 18, 2008 at National Indoor Arena, Birmingham, England.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 89 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.