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Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charrière: UFC on ESPN, Dec 13, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Melquizael Costa5-2-0
SatDec 13KO/TKO · R1Featherweight
Morgan Charrière3-2-0
55.1% (Elo 1555)(Elo 1520) 44.9%

Result

Melquizael Costa wins by KO/TKO (head kick)

round 1, 1:14

Pre-fight Elo gave Melquizael Costa 55.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Melquizael Costa 1555, Morgan Charrière 1520: a 35-point gap.
Form
Melquizael Costa won 4 of the last 5, Morgan Charrière won 3 of 5. Form favours Melquizael Costa.
Verdict
Melquizael Costa slightly favoured · Melquizael Costa 55.1% by Elo.
Melquizael Costa55.1%ELO44.9%Morgan Charrière
1555 · Pre-fight Elo · 1520

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Melquizael Costa · won 4 of last 5Morgan Charrière · won 3 of last 5
14501500155016002023202420252026Melquizael Costa 2023-01-21: 1485Melquizael Costa 2023-07-15: 1502Melquizael Costa 2023-12-09: 1487Melquizael Costa 2024-06-15: 1504Melquizael Costa 2025-02-22: 1521Melquizael Costa 2025-03-29: 1539Melquizael Costa 2025-05-17: 1555Melquizael Costa 2025-12-13: 15691569Morgan Charrière 2023-09-02: 1516Morgan Charrière 2024-04-06: 1501Morgan Charrière 2024-09-28: 1517Morgan Charrière 2025-03-22: 1503Morgan Charrière 2025-07-12: 1520Morgan Charrière 2025-12-13: 15051505

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Melquizael Costa
Morgan Charrière

Tale of the tape

29Ageno data yet
177.8 cmHeightno data yet
180.3 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceno data yet
5-2-0UFC record3-2-0
1584Peak Elo1520

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape

Full card »
Manel Kape vs. Brandon RoyvalKO/TKOKevin Vallejos vs. Giga ChikadzeKO/TKOCezary Oleksiejczuk vs. César AlmeidaDecisionKennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus BuchechaDrawKing Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.DecisionYaroslav Amosov vs. Neil MagnySubmissionJoanderson Brito vs. Isaac ThomsonDecisionSteven Asplund vs. Sean SharafKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape?

Sat, Dec 13, 2025 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Royval vs. Kape (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.