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Tim Boetsch vs. Rafael Natal: UFC 205, Nov 12, 2016

UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S.
Tim Boetsch10-9-0
SatNov 12KO/TKO · R1Middleweight
Rafael Natal9-5-1
45.1% (Elo 1522)(Elo 1557) 54.9%

Result

Tim Boetsch wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 3:22

Pre-fight Elo gave Rafael Natal 54.9%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Tim Boetsch 1522, Rafael Natal 1557: a 35-point gap.
Common opponents
Ed Herman (Boetsch: Loss; Natal: Loss).
Form
Tim Boetsch won 2 of the last 5, Rafael Natal won 4 of 5. Form favours Rafael Natal.
Verdict
Close fight · Rafael Natal 54.9% by Elo.
Tim Boetsch45.1%ELO54.9%Rafael Natal
1522 · Pre-fight Elo · 1557

Common opponents

OpponentTim BoetschRafael Natal
Ed Herman
LossKO/TKO (knee and punches), Jan 17, 2016
LossDecision (unanimous), May 10, 2014

Recent form

Tim Boetsch · won 2 of last 5Rafael Natal · won 4 of last 5
145015001550160020082010201220142016Tim Boetsch 2008-02-02: 1516Tim Boetsch 2008-04-02: 1501Tim Boetsch 2008-09-06: 1517Tim Boetsch 2009-03-07: 1500Tim Boetsch 2010-08-07: 1516Tim Boetsch 2010-11-20: 1502Tim Boetsch 2011-05-28: 1519Tim Boetsch 2011-09-24: 1535Tim Boetsch 2012-02-26: 1555Tim Boetsch 2012-07-21: 1568Tim Boetsch 2012-12-29: 1551Tim Boetsch 2013-07-06: 1536Tim Boetsch 2013-10-19: 1552Tim Boetsch 2014-04-26: 1534Tim Boetsch 2014-08-16: 1552Tim Boetsch 2015-01-31: 1537Tim Boetsch 2015-06-06: 1520Tim Boetsch 2016-01-17: 1505Tim Boetsch 2016-07-13: 1522Tim Boetsch 2016-11-12: 15401540Rafael Natal 2010-09-15: 1485Rafael Natal 2010-12-11: 1485Rafael Natal 2011-08-06: 1502Rafael Natal 2012-02-04: 1518Rafael Natal 2012-07-11: 1502Rafael Natal 2013-01-26: 1518Rafael Natal 2013-05-18: 1533Rafael Natal 2013-09-04: 1548Rafael Natal 2013-11-06: 1531Rafael Natal 2014-05-10: 1515Rafael Natal 2014-09-05: 1531Rafael Natal 2015-01-31: 1545Rafael Natal 2015-05-23: 1560Rafael Natal 2016-01-30: 1573Rafael Natal 2016-04-23: 1557Rafael Natal 2016-11-12: 15391539

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Tim Boetsch
  • Win
    Josh SammanKO/TKO (punches) · R2 3:49
  • Loss
    Ed HermanKO/TKO (knee and punches) · R2 1:39
  • Loss
    Dan HendersonKO/TKO (punches) · R1 0:28
  • Loss
    Thales LeitesSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R2 3:45
  • Win
    Brad TavaresKO/TKO (punches) · R2 3:18
Rafael Natal

Tale of the tape

35Age33
182.9 cmHeight182.9 cm
188.0 cmReach193.0 cm
no data yetStanceorthodox
10-9-0UFC record9-5-1
1568Peak Elo1573

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor

Full card »
Conor McGregor vs. Eddie AlvarezKO/TKOTyron Woodley vs. Stephen ThompsonDrawJoanna Jędrzejczyk vs. Karolina KowalkiewiczDecisionYoel Romero vs. Chris WeidmanKO/TKORaquel Pennington vs. Miesha TateDecisionFrankie Edgar vs. Jeremy StephensDecisionKhabib Nurmagomedov vs. Michael JohnsonSubmissionVicente Luque vs. Belal MuhammadKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor?

Sat, Nov 12, 2016 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 205 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.