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Rafael Natal vs. Tom Watson: UFC 183, Jan 31, 2015

UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz · MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Rafael Natal6-4-1
SatJan 31Decision · R3Middleweight
Tom Watson2-3-0
55.9% (Elo 1531)(Elo 1489) 44.1%

Result

Rafael Natal wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Rafael Natal 55.9%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Rafael Natal 1531, Tom Watson 1489: a 42-point gap.
Form
Rafael Natal won 3 of the last 5, Tom Watson won 2 of 5. Form favours Rafael Natal.
Verdict
Rafael Natal slightly favoured · Rafael Natal 55.9% by Elo.
Rafael Natal55.9%ELO44.1%Tom Watson
1531 · Pre-fight Elo · 1489

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Rafael Natal · won 3 of last 5Tom Watson · won 2 of last 5
14501500155020112012201320142015Rafael Natal 2010-09-15: 1485Rafael Natal 2010-12-11: 1485Rafael Natal 2011-08-06: 1502Rafael Natal 2012-02-04: 1518Rafael Natal 2012-07-11: 1502Rafael Natal 2013-01-26: 1518Rafael Natal 2013-05-18: 1533Rafael Natal 2013-09-04: 1548Rafael Natal 2013-11-06: 1531Rafael Natal 2014-05-10: 1515Rafael Natal 2014-09-05: 1531Rafael Natal 2015-01-31: 15451545Tom Watson 2012-09-29: 1485Tom Watson 2013-02-16: 1503Tom Watson 2013-08-03: 1488Tom Watson 2014-02-01: 1472Tom Watson 2014-08-16: 1489Tom Watson 2015-01-31: 14751475

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Rafael Natal
Tom Watson

Tale of the tape

32Age32
182.9 cmHeight185.4 cm
193.0 cmReach185.4 cm
orthodoxStanceno data yet
6-4-1UFC record2-3-0
1573Peak Elo1503

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz

Full card »
Anderson Silva vs. Nick DiazNCTyron Woodley vs. Kelvin GastelumDecisionAl Iaquinta vs. Joe LauzonKO/TKOThales Leites vs. Tim BoetschSubmissionThiago Alves vs. Jordan MeinKO/TKOMiesha Tate vs. Sara McMannDecisionDerek Brunson vs. Ed HermanKO/TKOJohn Lineker vs. Ian McCallDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 183: Silva vs. Diaz?

Sat, Jan 31, 2015 at MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 183 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.