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Tom Aspinall vs. Sergei Pavlovich: UFC 295, Nov 11, 2023

UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira · Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S.
SatNov 11KO/TKO · R1Title fight · 5 rounds
48.8% (Elo 1584)(Elo 1592) 51.2%

Result

Tom Aspinall wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 1:09

Pre-fight Elo gave Sergei Pavlovich 51.2%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Tom Aspinall 1584, Sergei Pavlovich 1592: a 8-point gap.
Common opponents
Curtis Blaydes (Aspinall: Loss; Pavlovich: Win).
Form
Tom Aspinall won 4 of the last 5, Sergei Pavlovich won 5 of 5. Form favours Sergei Pavlovich.
Verdict
Close fight · Sergei Pavlovich 51.2% by Elo.
Tom Aspinall48.8%ELO51.2%Sergei Pavlovich
1584 · Pre-fight Elo · 1592

Common opponents

OpponentTom AspinallSergei Pavlovich
Curtis Blaydes
LossKO/TKO (knee injury), Jul 23, 2022
WinKO/TKO (punches), Apr 22, 2023

Recent form

Tom Aspinall · won 4 of last 5Sergei Pavlovich · won 5 of last 5
14501500155016001650201920202021202220232024Tom Aspinall 2020-07-26: 1516Tom Aspinall 2020-10-11: 1531Tom Aspinall 2021-02-20: 1548Tom Aspinall 2021-09-04: 1564Tom Aspinall 2022-03-19: 1581Tom Aspinall 2022-07-23: 1567Tom Aspinall 2023-07-22: 1584Tom Aspinall 2023-11-11: 16001600Sergei Pavlovich 2018-11-24: 1486Sergei Pavlovich 2019-04-20: 1502Sergei Pavlovich 2019-10-26: 1520Sergei Pavlovich 2022-03-19: 1536Sergei Pavlovich 2022-07-30: 1556Sergei Pavlovich 2022-12-03: 1573Sergei Pavlovich 2023-04-22: 1592Sergei Pavlovich 2023-11-11: 15761576

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Tom Aspinall
Sergei Pavlovich

Tale of the tape

30Age31
195.6 cmHeight190.5 cm
198.1 cmReach213.4 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
6-1-0UFC record6-1-0
1618Peak Elo1607

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 295: Procházka vs. Pereira?

Sat, Nov 11, 2023 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Title fights are five rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 295 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.