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Shane Nelson vs. Aaron Riley: UFC 96, Mar 7, 2009

UFC 96: Jackson vs. Jardine · Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio, U.S.
SatMar 7KO/TKO · R1Lightweight
54.2% (Elo 1516)(Elo 1487) 45.8%

Result

Shane Nelson wins by KO/TKO (punches)

round 1, 0:44

Pre-fight Elo gave Shane Nelson 54.2%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Shane Nelson 1516, Aaron Riley 1487: a 29-point gap.
Form
Shane Nelson won 1 of the last 1, Aaron Riley won 1 of 3. Form favours Shane Nelson.
Verdict
Close fight · Shane Nelson 54.2% by Elo.
Shane Nelson54.2%ELO45.8%Aaron Riley
1516 · Pre-fight Elo · 1487

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Shane Nelson · won 1 of last 1Aaron Riley · won 1 of last 3
1450150015502003200420052006200720082009Shane Nelson 2008-12-13: 1516Shane Nelson 2009-03-07: 15311531Aaron Riley 2002-05-10: 1484Aaron Riley 2006-01-16: 1469Aaron Riley 2008-11-15: 1487Aaron Riley 2009-03-07: 14721472

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Shane Nelson
Aaron Riley

Tale of the tape

24Age28
175.3 cmHeight175.3 cm
177.8 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceSouthpaw
1-0-0UFC record1-2-0
1531Peak Elo1500

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: PPV

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 96: Jackson vs. Jardine

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FAQ

When and where is UFC 96: Jackson vs. Jardine?

Sat, Mar 7, 2009 at Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 96 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.