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Raphael Assunção vs. Aljamain Sterling: UFC on Fox, Jan 28, 2017

UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña · Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado, U.S.
Raphael Assunção7-2-0
SatJan 28Decision · R3Bantamweight
Aljamain Sterling4-1-0
54.1% (Elo 1576)(Elo 1547) 45.9%

Result

Raphael Assunção wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Raphael Assunção 54.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Raphael Assunção 1576, Aljamain Sterling 1547: a 29-point gap.
Common opponents
Bryan Caraway (Assunção: Win; Sterling: Loss). Johnny Eduardo (Assunção: Win; Sterling: Win).
Form
Raphael Assunção won 4 of the last 5, Aljamain Sterling won 4 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Raphael Assunção 54.1% by Elo.
Raphael Assunção54.1%ELO45.9%Aljamain Sterling
1576 · Pre-fight Elo · 1547

Common opponents

OpponentRaphael AssunçãoAljamain Sterling
Bryan Caraway
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 4, 2014
LossDecision (split), May 29, 2016
Johnny Eduardo
WinDecision (unanimous), Aug 27, 2011
WinSubmission (guillotine choke), Dec 10, 2015

Recent form

Raphael Assunção · won 4 of last 5Aljamain Sterling · won 4 of last 5
14501500155016002011201220132014201520162017Raphael Assunção 2011-03-19: 1484Raphael Assunção 2011-08-27: 1501Raphael Assunção 2012-07-11: 1517Raphael Assunção 2012-12-08: 1535Raphael Assunção 2013-06-08: 1549Raphael Assunção 2013-10-09: 1565Raphael Assunção 2014-02-22: 1578Raphael Assunção 2014-10-04: 1593Raphael Assunção 2016-07-09: 1576Raphael Assunção 2017-01-28: 15911591Aljamain Sterling 2014-02-22: 1516Aljamain Sterling 2014-07-16: 1533Aljamain Sterling 2015-04-18: 1550Aljamain Sterling 2015-12-10: 1564Aljamain Sterling 2016-05-29: 1547Aljamain Sterling 2017-01-28: 15331533

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Raphael Assunção
Aljamain Sterling

Tale of the tape

34Age27
165.1 cmHeight170.2 cm
no data yetReach180.3 cm
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
7-2-0UFC record4-1-0
1628Peak Elo1684

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña

Full card »
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Julianna PeñaSubmissionJorge Masvidal vs. Donald CerroneKO/TKOFrancis Ngannou vs. Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKOJason Knight vs. Alex CaceresSubmissionSam Alvey vs. Nate MarquardtDecisionLi Jingliang vs. Bobby NashKO/TKOJordan Johnson vs. Henrique da SilvaDecisionEric Spicely vs. Alessio Di ChiricoSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña?

Sat, Jan 28, 2017 at Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.