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Sam Alvey vs. Nate Marquardt: UFC on Fox, Jan 28, 2017

UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña · Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado, U.S.
Sam Alvey6-3-0
SatJan 28Decision · R3Middleweight
Nate Marquardt13-9-0
50.3% (Elo 1549)(Elo 1547) 49.7%

Result

Sam Alvey wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Sam Alvey 50.3%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Sam Alvey 1549, Nate Marquardt 1547: a 2-point gap.
Form
Sam Alvey won 3 of the last 5, Nate Marquardt won 2 of 5. Form favours Sam Alvey.
Verdict
Close fight · Sam Alvey 50.3% by Elo.
Sam Alvey50.3%ELO49.7%Nate Marquardt
1549 · Pre-fight Elo · 1547

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Sam Alvey · won 3 of last 5Nate Marquardt · won 2 of last 5
1450150015501600200620082010201220142016Sam Alvey 2014-08-16: 1483Sam Alvey 2014-11-08: 1500Sam Alvey 2015-02-22: 1518Sam Alvey 2015-05-10: 1535Sam Alvey 2015-08-08: 1519Sam Alvey 2016-06-18: 1504Sam Alvey 2016-07-13: 1520Sam Alvey 2016-08-27: 1534Sam Alvey 2016-11-05: 1549Sam Alvey 2017-01-28: 15651565Nate Marquardt 2005-08-06: 1518Nate Marquardt 2006-03-04: 1532Nate Marquardt 2006-10-10: 1546Nate Marquardt 2007-01-25: 1561Nate Marquardt 2007-07-07: 1545Nate Marquardt 2008-02-02: 1561Nate Marquardt 2008-06-07: 1543Nate Marquardt 2008-09-06: 1560Nate Marquardt 2009-02-21: 1576Nate Marquardt 2009-08-29: 1592Nate Marquardt 2010-02-06: 1573Nate Marquardt 2010-09-15: 1587Nate Marquardt 2010-11-13: 1572Nate Marquardt 2011-03-19: 1586Nate Marquardt 2013-03-16: 1570Nate Marquardt 2013-10-19: 1550Nate Marquardt 2014-06-28: 1565Nate Marquardt 2015-01-03: 1548Nate Marquardt 2015-06-13: 1533Nate Marquardt 2015-12-19: 1549Nate Marquardt 2016-05-14: 1532Nate Marquardt 2016-10-01: 1547Nate Marquardt 2017-01-28: 15311531

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Sam Alvey
Nate Marquardt

Tale of the tape

30Age37
188.0 cmHeight182.9 cm
190.5 cmReachno data yet
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
6-3-0UFC record13-9-0
1575Peak Elo1592

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: Fox

Prelims: Fox Sports 1

Prelims: UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña

Full card »
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Julianna PeñaSubmissionJorge Masvidal vs. Donald CerroneKO/TKOFrancis Ngannou vs. Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKOJason Knight vs. Alex CaceresSubmissionRaphael Assunção vs. Aljamain SterlingDecisionLi Jingliang vs. Bobby NashKO/TKOJordan Johnson vs. Henrique da SilvaDecisionEric Spicely vs. Alessio Di ChiricoSubmission

FAQ

When and where is UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña?

Sat, Jan 28, 2017 at Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on Fox: Shevchenko vs. Peña (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.