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Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas: UFC Fight Night, Jan 11, 2025

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
SatJan 11Submission · R3Women's Strawweight
50.9% (Elo 1552)(Elo 1545) 49.1%

Result

Mackenzie Dern wins by Submission (armbar)

round 3, 4:56

Pre-fight Elo gave Mackenzie Dern 50.9%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Mackenzie Dern 1552, Amanda Ribas 1545: a 7-point gap.
Head-to-head
They have met once; most recently on Oct 12, 2019: Amanda Ribas wins by Decision (unanimous).
Common opponents
Virna Jandiroba (Dern: Win; Ribas: Win). Marina Rodriguez (Dern: Loss; Ribas: Loss). Randa Markos (Dern: Win; Ribas: Win).
Form
Mackenzie Dern won 2 of the last 5, Amanda Ribas won 2 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Close fight · Mackenzie Dern 50.9% by Elo.
Mackenzie Dern50.9%ELO49.1%Amanda Ribas
1552 · Pre-fight Elo · 1545

Common opponents

OpponentMackenzie DernAmanda Ribas
Virna Jandiroba
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 12, 2020
WinDecision (unanimous), Oct 30, 2021
Marina Rodriguez
LossDecision (unanimous), Oct 9, 2021
LossKO/TKO (elbow and punches), Jan 24, 2021
Randa Markos
WinSubmission (armbar), Sep 19, 2020
WinDecision (unanimous), Mar 14, 2020

Recent form

Mackenzie Dern · won 2 of last 5Amanda Ribas · won 2 of last 5
15001550160020182019202020212022202320242025Mackenzie Dern 2018-03-03: 1515Mackenzie Dern 2018-05-12: 1530Mackenzie Dern 2019-10-12: 1513Mackenzie Dern 2020-05-30: 1528Mackenzie Dern 2020-09-19: 1543Mackenzie Dern 2020-12-12: 1558Mackenzie Dern 2021-04-10: 1572Mackenzie Dern 2021-10-09: 1555Mackenzie Dern 2022-04-09: 1571Mackenzie Dern 2022-10-01: 1554Mackenzie Dern 2023-05-20: 1567Mackenzie Dern 2023-11-11: 1551Mackenzie Dern 2024-02-17: 1536Mackenzie Dern 2024-08-03: 1552Mackenzie Dern 2025-01-11: 15681568Amanda Ribas 2019-06-29: 1517Amanda Ribas 2019-10-12: 1533Amanda Ribas 2020-03-14: 1548Amanda Ribas 2020-07-12: 1563Amanda Ribas 2021-01-24: 1545Amanda Ribas 2021-10-30: 1560Amanda Ribas 2022-05-14: 1545Amanda Ribas 2023-03-04: 1560Amanda Ribas 2023-06-24: 1545Amanda Ribas 2023-11-18: 1561Amanda Ribas 2024-03-23: 1545Amanda Ribas 2025-01-11: 15301530

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Mackenzie Dern
Amanda Ribas

Tale of the tape

31Age31
162.6 cmHeight162.6 cm
160.0 cmReach167.6 cm
no data yetStanceOrthodox
9-5-0UFC record7-4-0
1601Peak Elo1563

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2?

Sat, Jan 11, 2025 at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.