Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig: UFC 309, Nov 16, 2024

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S.

Bo Nickal3-0-0

SatNov 16Decision · R3Middleweight

Paul Craig9-8-1

53.1% (Elo 1545)

(Elo 1523) 46.9%

Result

Bo Nickal wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Bo Nickal 53.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo: Bo Nickal 1545, Paul Craig 1523: a 22-point gap.
Form: Bo Nickal won 3 of the last 3, Paul Craig won 1 of 5. Form favours Bo Nickal.
Verdict: Close fight · Bo Nickal 53.1% by Elo.

Bo Nickal53.1%ELO46.9%Paul Craig

1545 · Pre-fight Elo · 1523

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Bo Nickal · won 3 of last 3Paul Craig · won 1 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Bo Nickal

Win
Cody BrundageSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R2 3:38
Apr 13, 2024
Win
Val WoodburnKO/TKO (punches) · R1 0:38
Jul 8, 2023
Win
Jamie PickettSubmission (arm-triangle choke) · R1 2:54
Mar 4, 2023

Paul Craig

Loss
Caio BorralhoKO/TKO (punches) · R2 2:10
May 4, 2024
Loss
Brendan AllenSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R3 0:38
Nov 18, 2023
Win
André MunizKO/TKO (elbows) · R2 4:40
Jul 22, 2023
Loss
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO (punches) · R1 2:16
Jan 21, 2023
Loss
Volkan OezdemirDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jul 23, 2022

Tale of the tape

28Age36

185.4 cmHeight193.0 cm

190.5 cmReach193.0 cm

SouthpawStanceno data yet

3-0-0UFC record9-8-1

1572Peak Elo1569

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / FX / Hulu / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

Full card »

Jon Jones vs. Stipe MiocicKO/TKO Charles Oliveira vs. Michael ChandlerDecision Viviane Araújo vs. Karine SilvaDecision Maurício Ruffy vs. James LlontopDecision Marcus McGhee vs. Jonathan MartinezDecision Jim Miller vs. Damon JacksonSubmission David Onama vs. Roberto RomeroDecision Marcin Tybura vs. Jhonata DinizKO/TKO

FAQ

When and where is UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic?

Sat, Nov 16, 2024 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 309 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.