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Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler: UFC 309, Nov 16, 2024

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S.
Charles Oliveira22-10-0 (1 NC)
SatNov 16Decision · R5Lightweight
72.0% (Elo 1673)(Elo 1510) 28.0%

Result

Charles Oliveira wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Charles Oliveira 72.0%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Charles Oliveira 1673, Michael Chandler 1510: a 163-point gap.
Head-to-head
They have met once; most recently on May 15, 2021: Charles Oliveira wins by KO/TKO (punches).
Common opponents
Dustin Poirier (Oliveira: Win; Chandler: Loss). Tony Ferguson (Oliveira: Win; Chandler: Win). Justin Gaethje (Oliveira: Win; Chandler: Loss).
Form
Charles Oliveira won 3 of the last 5, Michael Chandler won 2 of 5. Form favours Charles Oliveira.
Verdict
Charles Oliveira clear favourite · Charles Oliveira 72.0% by Elo.
Charles Oliveira72.0%ELO28.0%Michael Chandler
1673 · Pre-fight Elo · 1510

Common opponents

OpponentCharles OliveiraMichael Chandler
Dustin Poirier
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Dec 11, 2021
LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), Nov 12, 2022
Tony Ferguson
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 12, 2020
WinKO/TKO (front kick), May 7, 2022
Justin Gaethje
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), May 7, 2022
LossDecision (unanimous), Nov 6, 2021

Recent form

Charles Oliveira · won 3 of last 5Michael Chandler · won 2 of last 5
14501500155016001650170020112013201520172019202120232025Charles Oliveira 2010-08-01: 1517Charles Oliveira 2010-09-15: 1533Charles Oliveira 2010-12-11: 1520Charles Oliveira 2011-06-26: 1520Charles Oliveira 2011-08-14: 1505Charles Oliveira 2012-01-28: 1520Charles Oliveira 2012-06-01: 1536Charles Oliveira 2012-09-22: 1519Charles Oliveira 2013-07-06: 1506Charles Oliveira 2014-02-15: 1521Charles Oliveira 2014-06-28: 1536Charles Oliveira 2014-12-12: 1552Charles Oliveira 2015-05-30: 1569Charles Oliveira 2015-08-23: 1554Charles Oliveira 2015-12-19: 1571Charles Oliveira 2016-08-27: 1553Charles Oliveira 2016-11-05: 1538Charles Oliveira 2017-04-08: 1552Charles Oliveira 2017-12-02: 1536Charles Oliveira 2018-06-09: 1553Charles Oliveira 2018-09-22: 1566Charles Oliveira 2018-12-15: 1582Charles Oliveira 2019-02-02: 1598Charles Oliveira 2019-05-18: 1613Charles Oliveira 2019-11-16: 1625Charles Oliveira 2020-03-14: 1640Charles Oliveira 2020-12-12: 1657Charles Oliveira 2021-05-15: 1667Charles Oliveira 2021-12-11: 1685Charles Oliveira 2022-05-07: 1696Charles Oliveira 2022-10-22: 1678Charles Oliveira 2023-06-10: 1694Charles Oliveira 2024-04-13: 1673Charles Oliveira 2024-11-16: 16821682Michael Chandler 2021-01-24: 1520Michael Chandler 2021-05-15: 1510Michael Chandler 2021-11-06: 1496Michael Chandler 2022-05-07: 1519Michael Chandler 2022-11-12: 1510Michael Chandler 2024-11-16: 15011501

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Charles Oliveira
Michael Chandler

Tale of the tape

35Age38
177.8 cmHeight172.7 cm
188.0 cmReach180.3 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
22-10-0 (1 NC)UFC record2-3-0
1696Peak Elo1520

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / FX / Hulu / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic?

Sat, Nov 16, 2024 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 309 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.