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Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg: UFC on ESPN, Mar 29, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg · Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico
Brandon Moreno10-5-2
SatMar 29Decision · R5Flyweight
Steve Erceg3-2-0
59.7% (Elo 1587)(Elo 1519) 40.3%

Result

Brandon Moreno wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Brandon Moreno 59.7%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo
Brandon Moreno 1587, Steve Erceg 1519: a 68-point gap.
Common opponents
Kai Kara-France (Moreno: Win ×2; Erceg: Loss). Alexandre Pantoja (Moreno: Loss ×2; Erceg: Loss).
Form
Brandon Moreno won 3 of the last 5, Steve Erceg won 3 of 5. Form is level.
Verdict
Brandon Moreno slightly favoured · Brandon Moreno 59.7% by Elo.
Brandon Moreno59.7%ELO40.3%Steve Erceg
1587 · Pre-fight Elo · 1519

Common opponents

OpponentBrandon MorenoSteve Erceg
Kai Kara-France
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 14, 2019
WinKO/TKO (body kick and punches), Jul 30, 2022
LossKO/TKO (punches), Aug 18, 2024
Alexandre Pantoja
LossDecision (unanimous), May 19, 2018
LossDecision (split), Jul 8, 2023
LossDecision (unanimous), May 4, 2024

Recent form

Brandon Moreno · won 3 of last 5Steve Erceg · won 3 of last 5
1500155016001650201720182019202020212022202320242025Brandon Moreno 2016-10-01: 1519Brandon Moreno 2016-12-03: 1534Brandon Moreno 2017-04-22: 1550Brandon Moreno 2017-08-05: 1534Brandon Moreno 2018-05-19: 1517Brandon Moreno 2019-09-21: 1516Brandon Moreno 2019-12-14: 1534Brandon Moreno 2020-03-14: 1551Brandon Moreno 2020-11-21: 1566Brandon Moreno 2020-12-12: 1569Brandon Moreno 2021-06-12: 1588Brandon Moreno 2022-01-22: 1573Brandon Moreno 2022-07-30: 1589Brandon Moreno 2023-01-21: 1606Brandon Moreno 2023-07-08: 1590Brandon Moreno 2024-02-24: 1571Brandon Moreno 2024-11-02: 1587Brandon Moreno 2025-03-29: 16001600Steve Erceg 2023-06-10: 1517Steve Erceg 2023-11-11: 1532Steve Erceg 2024-03-02: 1548Steve Erceg 2024-05-04: 1535Steve Erceg 2024-08-18: 1519Steve Erceg 2025-03-29: 15061506

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Brandon Moreno
Steve Erceg

Tale of the tape

31Age29
170.2 cmHeight172.7 cm
no data yetReach172.7 cm
no data yetStanceno data yet
10-5-2UFC record3-2-0
1606Peak Elo1548

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg

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FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg?

Sat, Mar 29, 2025 at Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico.

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.