Melquizael Costa vs. Christian Rodriguez: UFC on ESPN, Mar 29, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg · Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico

Melquizael Costa3-2-0

SatMar 29Decision · R3Featherweight

Christian Rodriguez5-2-0

46.3% (Elo 1521)

(Elo 1547) 53.7%

Result

Melquizael Costa wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Christian Rodriguez 53.7%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo: Melquizael Costa 1521, Christian Rodriguez 1547: a 26-point gap.
Form: Melquizael Costa won 3 of the last 5, Christian Rodriguez won 4 of 5. Form favours Christian Rodriguez.
Verdict: Close fight · Christian Rodriguez 53.7% by Elo.

Melquizael Costa46.3%ELO53.7%Christian Rodriguez

1521 · Pre-fight Elo · 1547

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Melquizael Costa · won 3 of last 5Christian Rodriguez · won 4 of last 5

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Melquizael Costa

Win
Andre FiliSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:30
Feb 22, 2025
Win
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeSubmission (face crank) · R3 1:50
Jun 15, 2024
Loss
Steve GarciaKO/TKO (elbows) · R2 1:01
Dec 9, 2023
Win
Austin LingoDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jul 15, 2023
Loss
Thiago MoisésSubmission (face crank) · R2 4:05
Jan 21, 2023

Christian Rodriguez

Win
Austin BashiDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jan 11, 2025
Loss
Julian ErosaSubmission (guillotine choke) · R1 4:49
Jul 13, 2024
Win
Isaac DulgarianDecision (split) · R3 5:00
Mar 16, 2024
Win
Cameron SaaimanDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Oct 14, 2023
Win
Raul Rosas Jr.Decision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Apr 8, 2023

Tale of the tape

28Ageno data yet

177.8 cmHeightno data yet

180.3 cmReachno data yet

SouthpawStanceno data yet

3-2-0UFC record5-2-0

1584Peak Elo1551

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg

Full card »

Brandon Moreno vs. Steve ErcegDecision Manuel Torres vs. Drew DoberKO/TKO Édgar Cháirez vs. C.J. VergaraSubmission Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince MoralesDecision David Martínez vs. Saimon OliveiraKO/TKO Kevin Borjas vs. Ronaldo RodríguezDecision Ateba Gautier vs. José MedinaKO/TKO Loopy Godínez vs. Julia PolastriDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg?

Sat, Mar 29, 2025 at Arena CDMX, Mexico City, Mexico.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.