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Tecia Pennington vs. Carla Esparza: UFC 307, Oct 5, 2024

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S.
SatOct 5Decision · R3Women's Strawweight
41.2% (Elo 1521)(Elo 1583) 58.8%

Result

Tecia Pennington wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Carla Esparza 58.8%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Tecia Pennington 1521, Carla Esparza 1583: a 62-point gap.
Common opponents
Zhang Weili (Pennington: Loss; Esparza: Loss). Rose Namajunas (Pennington: Loss; Esparza: Win ×2). Marina Rodriguez (Pennington: Loss; Esparza: Win).
Form
Tecia Pennington won 3 of the last 5, Carla Esparza won 4 of 5. Form favours Carla Esparza.
Verdict
Carla Esparza slightly favoured · Carla Esparza 58.8% by Elo.
Tecia Pennington41.2%ELO58.8%Carla Esparza
1521 · Pre-fight Elo · 1583

Common opponents

OpponentTecia PenningtonCarla Esparza
Zhang Weili
LossDecision (unanimous), Mar 2, 2019
LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), Nov 12, 2022
Rose Namajunas
LossDecision (unanimous), Apr 16, 2016
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Dec 12, 2014
WinDecision (split), May 7, 2022
Marina Rodriguez
LossDecision (unanimous), Aug 10, 2019
WinDecision (split), Jul 26, 2020
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
WinDecision (unanimous), Dec 2, 2017
WinDecision (split), May 9, 2020
Joanna Jędrzejczyk
LossDecision (unanimous), Jul 28, 2018
LossKO/TKO (punches), Mar 14, 2015
Juliana Lima
WinSubmission (rear-naked choke), Jul 7, 2017
WinDecision (unanimous), Apr 23, 2016

Recent form

Tecia Pennington · won 3 of last 5Carla Esparza · won 4 of last 5
1500155016001650201520172019202120232025Tecia Pennington 2014-12-12: 1516Tecia Pennington 2015-06-13: 1532Tecia Pennington 2015-12-12: 1547Tecia Pennington 2016-04-16: 1529Tecia Pennington 2017-02-04: 1544Tecia Pennington 2017-07-07: 1559Tecia Pennington 2017-12-02: 1573Tecia Pennington 2018-02-24: 1556Tecia Pennington 2018-07-28: 1541Tecia Pennington 2019-03-02: 1525Tecia Pennington 2019-08-10: 1508Tecia Pennington 2020-06-20: 1525Tecia Pennington 2020-12-12: 1540Tecia Pennington 2021-08-07: 1554Tecia Pennington 2022-04-09: 1538Tecia Pennington 2024-05-11: 1521Tecia Pennington 2024-10-05: 15401540Carla Esparza 2014-12-12: 1516Carla Esparza 2015-03-14: 1501Carla Esparza 2016-04-23: 1517Carla Esparza 2017-02-19: 1500Carla Esparza 2017-06-25: 1517Carla Esparza 2017-12-30: 1535Carla Esparza 2018-06-09: 1518Carla Esparza 2018-09-08: 1503Carla Esparza 2019-04-27: 1519Carla Esparza 2019-09-21: 1535Carla Esparza 2020-05-09: 1551Carla Esparza 2020-07-26: 1566Carla Esparza 2021-05-22: 1583Carla Esparza 2022-05-07: 1600Carla Esparza 2022-11-12: 1583Carla Esparza 2024-10-05: 15641564

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Tecia Pennington
Carla Esparza

Tale of the tape

35Age36
154.9 cmHeight154.9 cm
no data yetReachno data yet
no data yetStanceno data yet
9-7-0UFC record10-5-0
1573Peak Elo1600

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.?

Sat, Oct 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 307 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.