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Mario Bautista vs. José Aldo: UFC 307, Oct 5, 2024

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S.
Mario Bautista8-2-0
SatOct 5Decision · R3Bantamweight
José Aldo14-7-0
46.8% (Elo 1593)(Elo 1615) 53.2%

Result

Mario Bautista wins by Decision (split)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave José Aldo 53.2%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Mario Bautista 1593, José Aldo 1615: a 22-point gap.
Form
Mario Bautista won 5 of the last 5, José Aldo won 4 of 5. Form favours Mario Bautista.
Verdict
Close fight · José Aldo 53.2% by Elo. Form favours Mario Bautista.
Mario Bautista46.8%ELO53.2%José Aldo
1593 · Pre-fight Elo · 1615

Common opponents

The two fighters have no common UFC opponents.

Recent form

Mario Bautista · won 5 of last 5José Aldo · won 4 of last 5
1450150015501600165020112013201520172019202120232025Mario Bautista 2019-01-19: 1486Mario Bautista 2019-07-20: 1501Mario Bautista 2020-02-08: 1518Mario Bautista 2021-03-06: 1501Mario Bautista 2022-02-19: 1517Mario Bautista 2022-06-25: 1534Mario Bautista 2022-11-05: 1549Mario Bautista 2023-03-11: 1563Mario Bautista 2023-08-19: 1576Mario Bautista 2024-01-13: 1593Mario Bautista 2024-10-05: 16101610José Aldo 2011-04-30: 1518José Aldo 2011-10-08: 1538José Aldo 2012-01-14: 1554José Aldo 2013-02-02: 1572José Aldo 2013-08-03: 1587José Aldo 2014-02-01: 1602José Aldo 2014-10-25: 1617José Aldo 2015-12-12: 1601José Aldo 2016-07-09: 1619José Aldo 2017-06-03: 1604José Aldo 2017-12-02: 1590José Aldo 2018-07-28: 1605José Aldo 2019-02-02: 1619José Aldo 2019-05-11: 1602José Aldo 2019-12-14: 1584José Aldo 2020-07-12: 1568José Aldo 2020-12-19: 1585José Aldo 2021-08-07: 1600José Aldo 2021-12-04: 1616José Aldo 2022-08-20: 1598José Aldo 2024-05-04: 1615José Aldo 2024-10-05: 15981598

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Mario Bautista
José Aldo

Tale of the tape

31Age38
175.3 cmHeight170.2 cm
no data yetReach177.8 cm
no data yetStanceOrthodox
8-2-0UFC record14-7-0
1633Peak Elo1619

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Prelims: ESPNews / ESPN+

Early prelims: ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

Full card »
Alex Pereira vs. Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKOJulianna Peña vs. Raquel PenningtonDecisionRoman Dolidze vs. Kevin HollandKO/TKOKayla Harrison vs. Ketlen VieiraDecisionJoaquin Buckley vs. Stephen ThompsonKO/TKOIasmin Lucindo vs. Marina RodriguezDecisionAlexander Hernandez vs. Austin HubbardDecisionCésar Almeida vs. Ihor PotieriaDecision

FAQ

When and where is UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.?

Sat, Oct 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC 307 (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.