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Carlos Condit vs. Matt Brown: UFC on ABC, Jan 16, 2021

UFC on ABC: Holloway vs. Kattar · Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
SatJan 16Decision · R3Welterweight
Matt Brown15-11-0
44.2% (Elo 1514)(Elo 1555) 55.8%

Result

Carlos Condit wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 3, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Matt Brown 55.8%: missed

Elo prediction

Elo
Carlos Condit 1514, Matt Brown 1555: a 41-point gap.
Common opponents
Demian Maia (Condit: Loss; Brown: Loss). Jake Ellenberger (Condit: Win; Brown: Loss). Robbie Lawler (Condit: Loss; Brown: Loss).
Form
Carlos Condit won 1 of the last 5, Matt Brown won 2 of 5. Form favours Matt Brown.
Verdict
Matt Brown slightly favoured · Matt Brown 55.8% by Elo.
Carlos Condit44.2%ELO55.8%Matt Brown
1514 · Pre-fight Elo · 1555

Common opponents

OpponentCarlos ConditMatt Brown
Demian Maia
LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), Aug 27, 2016
LossSubmission (rear-naked choke), May 14, 2016
Jake Ellenberger
WinDecision (split), Sep 16, 2009
LossKO/TKO (body kick and punches), Jul 30, 2016
Robbie Lawler
LossDecision (split), Jan 2, 2016
LossDecision (unanimous), Jul 26, 2014
Johny Hendricks
LossDecision (unanimous), Mar 16, 2013
LossDecision (unanimous), Mar 14, 2015
Dong Hyun Kim
WinKO/TKO (flying knee and punches), Jul 2, 2011
LossDecision (split), Sep 6, 2008

Recent form

Carlos Condit · won 1 of last 5Matt Brown · won 2 of last 5
145015001550160016502009201120132015201720192021Carlos Condit 2009-04-01: 1487Carlos Condit 2009-09-16: 1503Carlos Condit 2010-06-12: 1520Carlos Condit 2010-10-16: 1538Carlos Condit 2011-07-02: 1555Carlos Condit 2012-02-04: 1571Carlos Condit 2012-11-17: 1561Carlos Condit 2013-03-16: 1548Carlos Condit 2013-08-28: 1565Carlos Condit 2014-03-15: 1547Carlos Condit 2015-05-30: 1566Carlos Condit 2016-01-02: 1552Carlos Condit 2016-08-27: 1541Carlos Condit 2017-12-30: 1527Carlos Condit 2018-04-14: 1513Carlos Condit 2018-12-29: 1499Carlos Condit 2020-10-04: 1514Carlos Condit 2021-01-16: 15321532Matt Brown 2008-06-21: 1517Matt Brown 2008-09-06: 1501Matt Brown 2008-11-15: 1516Matt Brown 2009-03-07: 1530Matt Brown 2009-11-14: 1545Matt Brown 2010-03-27: 1528Matt Brown 2010-07-03: 1511Matt Brown 2010-11-20: 1494Matt Brown 2011-06-26: 1512Matt Brown 2011-11-19: 1495Matt Brown 2012-02-04: 1512Matt Brown 2012-04-21: 1528Matt Brown 2012-06-22: 1542Matt Brown 2012-12-08: 1560Matt Brown 2013-04-20: 1574Matt Brown 2013-08-17: 1590Matt Brown 2014-05-10: 1603Matt Brown 2014-07-26: 1586Matt Brown 2015-03-14: 1571Matt Brown 2015-07-11: 1586Matt Brown 2016-05-14: 1572Matt Brown 2016-07-30: 1554Matt Brown 2016-12-10: 1544Matt Brown 2017-11-11: 1561Matt Brown 2019-12-14: 1574Matt Brown 2020-05-16: 1555Matt Brown 2021-01-16: 15371537

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Carlos Condit
  • Win
    Court McGeeDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Michael ChiesaSubmission (kimura) · R2 0:56
  • Loss
    Alex OliveiraSubmission (guillotine choke) · R2 3:17
  • Loss
    Neil MagnyDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
  • Loss
    Demian MaiaSubmission (rear-naked choke) · R1 1:52
Matt Brown

Tale of the tape

36Age40
188.0 cmHeight182.9 cm
no data yetReach190.5 cm
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
8-9-0UFC record15-11-0
1571Peak Elo1603

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ABC / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

More fights at UFC on ABC: Holloway vs. Kattar

Full card »

FAQ

When and where is UFC on ABC: Holloway vs. Kattar?

Sat, Jan 16, 2021 at Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

How many rounds is this fight?

Standard UFC fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ABC: Holloway vs. Kattar (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.