Ian Machado Garry vs. Carlos Prates: UFC on ESPN, Apr 26, 2025

UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates · T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S.

Ian Machado Garry8-1-0

SatApr 26Decision · R5Welterweight

Carlos Prates4-0-0

55.1% (Elo 1606)

(Elo 1570) 44.9%

Result

Ian Machado Garry wins by Decision (unanimous)

round 5, 5:00

Pre-fight Elo gave Ian Machado Garry 55.1%: correct

Elo prediction

Elo: Ian Machado Garry 1606, Carlos Prates 1570: a 36-point gap.
Common opponents: Neil Magny (Garry: Win; Prates: Win).
Form: Ian Machado Garry won 4 of the last 5, Carlos Prates won 4 of 4. Form favours Carlos Prates.
Verdict: Ian Machado Garry slightly favoured · Ian Machado Garry 55.1% by Elo. Form favours Carlos Prates.

Ian Machado Garry55.1%ELO44.9%Carlos Prates

1606 · Pre-fight Elo · 1570

Common opponents

Opponent	Ian Machado Garry	Carlos Prates
Neil Magny	WinDecision (unanimous), Aug 19, 2023	WinKO/TKO (punch), Nov 9, 2024

Recent form

Ian Machado Garry · won 4 of last 5Carlos Prates · won 4 of last 4

Elo after each UFC fight, first to latest. Hollow dots are losses.

Ian Machado Garry

Loss
Shavkat RakhmonovDecision (unanimous) · R5 5:00
Dec 7, 2024
Win
Michael PageDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Jun 29, 2024
Win
Geoff NealDecision (split) · R3 5:00
Feb 17, 2024
Win
Neil MagnyDecision (unanimous) · R3 5:00
Aug 19, 2023
Win
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO (head kick and punches) · R1 2:57
May 13, 2023

Carlos Prates

Win
Neil MagnyKO/TKO (punch) · R1 4:50
Nov 9, 2024
Win
Li JingliangKO/TKO (punches) · R2 4:02
Aug 18, 2024
Win
Charles RadtkeKO/TKO (knee to the body) · R1 4:47
Jun 8, 2024
Win
Trevin GilesKO/TKO (punch) · R2 4:03
Feb 10, 2024

Tale of the tape

27Age31

190.5 cmHeight185.4 cm

188.0 cmReach198.1 cm

no data yetStanceSouthpaw

8-1-0UFC record4-0-0

1638Peak Elo1609

Records and Elo count UFC fights only.

Where to watch

Main card: ESPN2 / ESPN+

Prelims: ESPN+

Per Wikipedia. eloline lists official broadcasters only.

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Full card »

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FAQ

When and where is UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates?

Sat, Apr 26, 2025 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, Missouri, U.S..

How many rounds is this fight?

Main events are usually five rounds; other fights are three rounds of five minutes.

How does eloline's Elo work?

Every fighter starts at 1500. Wins add points, losses take them away, and beating a stronger opponent adds more. The win probability comes from the pre-fight Elo gap. Only UFC fights are counted for now.

Source: Wikipedia: UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates (CC BY-SA 4.0). Records and Elo count UFC fights only.